**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, the biggest debut in North American history, and quickly became the fastest film to $400 million domestically while crossing $1 billion worldwide in just six days. Strong 90% critical scores, enthusiastic word-of-mouth, and Tom Holland’s established fanbase have driven sustained performance, with the film adding roughly $40–47 million on strong weekdays amid light competition. These factors position the 900m+ outcome as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflecting expectations of continued strong legs through late August. With minimal upcoming releases to challenge its hold and proven franchise momentum, the market-implied odds align closely with the film’s early trajectory and historical performance patterns for top Marvel titles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
900M+ 80.5%
800 - 900 millions 17%
700 - 800 millions 2.7%
600 - 700 millions <1%
$324,937 Vol.
$324,937 Vol.
31 août 2026
<400 millions
<1%
400 - 500 millions
<1%
500 - 600 millions
1%
600 - 700 millions
1%
700 - 800 millions
3%
800 - 900 millions
17%
900M+
81%
900M+ 80.5%
800 - 900 millions 17%
700 - 800 millions 2.7%
600 - 700 millions <1%
$324,937 Vol.
$324,937 Vol.
31 août 2026
<400 millions
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 millions
$18,618 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 millions
$24,065 Vol.
1%
600 - 700 millions
$23,860 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 millions
$21,655 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 millions
$32,577 Vol.
17%
900M+
$198,338 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, the biggest debut in North American history, and quickly became the fastest film to $400 million domestically while crossing $1 billion worldwide in just six days. Strong 90% critical scores, enthusiastic word-of-mouth, and Tom Holland’s established fanbase have driven sustained performance, with the film adding roughly $40–47 million on strong weekdays amid light competition. These factors position the 900m+ outcome as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflecting expectations of continued strong legs through late August. With minimal upcoming releases to challenge its hold and proven franchise momentum, the market-implied odds align closely with the film’s early trajectory and historical performance patterns for top Marvel titles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$324,937Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, the biggest debut in North American history, and quickly became the fastest film to $400 million domestically while crossing $1 billion worldwide in just six days. Strong 90% critical scores, enthusiastic word-of-mouth, and Tom Holland’s established fanbase have driven sustained performance, with the film adding roughly $40–47 million on strong weekdays amid light competition. These factors position the 900m+ outcome as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflecting expectations of continued strong legs through late August. With minimal upcoming releases to challenge its hold and proven franchise momentum, the market-implied odds align closely with the film’s early trajectory and historical performance patterns for top Marvel titles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$324,937Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, 2026, the biggest debut in North American history, and quickly became the fastest film to $400 million domestically while crossing $1 billion worldwide in just six days. Strong 90% critical scores, enthusiastic word-of-mouth, and Tom Holland’s established fanbase have driven sustained performance, with the film adding roughly $40–47 million on strong weekdays amid light competition. These factors position the 900m+ outcome as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, reflecting expectations of continued strong legs through late August. With minimal upcoming releases to challenge its hold and proven franchise momentum, the market-implied odds align closely with the film’s early trajectory and historical performance patterns for top Marvel titles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
45%
Le box-office du deuxième week-end de "Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau" sera-t-il inférieur à 130 millions ?
43%
Oui
Le total des recettes nationales pour L'Odyssée sera-t-il d'au moins 350 millions d'ici le 31 août ?
99%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes