Recent statements from the court's two oldest justices have reinforced trader expectations against a 2026 vacancy. Samuel Alito, 76, told Bloomberg and CBS in early October interviews that he decided months ago to remain through the current term ending in June or July 2027 and has no plans to step down during the post-midterm lame-duck session even if Democrats gain Senate control. Clarence Thomas, 78, has offered no indications of retirement and continues serving without reported health concerns. Senate Republicans have expressed readiness to confirm a nominee if needed but view an opening this year as unlikely absent a medical emergency. These developments, amid ongoing midterm uncertainty over Senate control, have anchored the strong market consensus.