President Donald Trump has signaled no intention of resigning before December 31, 2026, consistent with traders assigning a 93.5% probability to the “No” outcome. His administration continues to advance stated priorities on immigration enforcement, trade policy, and regulatory changes without interruption. Historical precedents indicate presidential resignations remain rare absent acute crises, and no recent health disclosures, legal proceedings, or party pressures have altered that baseline. Scheduled events through late 2026, including midterm preparations and legislative sessions, show continuity in leadership expectations. While sudden developments such as serious medical issues or major scandals could still prompt reconsideration, current evidence points to a full term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has signaled no intention of resigning before December 31, 2026, consistent with traders assigning a 93.5% probability to the “No” outcome. His administration continues to advance stated priorities on immigration enforcement, trade policy, and regulatory changes without interruption. Historical precedents indicate presidential resignations remain rare absent acute crises, and no recent health disclosures, legal proceedings, or party pressures have altered that baseline. Scheduled events through late 2026, including midterm preparations and legislative sessions, show continuity in leadership expectations. While sudden developments such as serious medical issues or major scandals could still prompt reconsideration, current evidence points to a full term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has signaled no intention of resigning before December 31, 2026, consistent with traders assigning a 93.5% probability to the “No” outcome. His administration continues to advance stated priorities on immigration enforcement, trade policy, and regulatory changes without interruption. Historical precedents indicate presidential resignations remain rare absent acute crises, and no recent health disclosures, legal proceedings, or party pressures have altered that baseline. Scheduled events through late 2026, including midterm preparations and legislative sessions, show continuity in leadership expectations. While sudden developments such as serious medical issues or major scandals could still prompt reconsideration, current evidence points to a full term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Donald Trump has signaled no intention of resigning before December 31, 2026, consistent with traders assigning a 93.5% probability to the “No” outcome. His administration continues to advance stated priorities on immigration enforcement, trade policy, and regulatory changes without interruption. Historical precedents indicate presidential resignations remain rare absent acute crises, and no recent health disclosures, legal proceedings, or party pressures have altered that baseline. Scheduled events through late 2026, including midterm preparations and legislative sessions, show continuity in leadership expectations. While sudden developments such as serious medical issues or major scandals could still prompt reconsideration, current evidence points to a full term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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