Traders assign a high implied probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting his position as the sitting president with two years remaining in his term. Recent developments center on his administration's active legislative agenda, including cabinet confirmations, border security measures, and economic policy initiatives that indicate sustained engagement with the role. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations occur only under extreme pressure, such as the 1974 Nixon case, with no comparable health, legal, or political crises evident in current reporting. Potential shifts would require unforeseen events like sudden incapacity or major scandals, though none have materialized to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$17,431 Vol.
$17,431 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$17,431 Vol.
$17,431 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a high implied probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting his position as the sitting president with two years remaining in his term. Recent developments center on his administration's active legislative agenda, including cabinet confirmations, border security measures, and economic policy initiatives that indicate sustained engagement with the role. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations occur only under extreme pressure, such as the 1974 Nixon case, with no comparable health, legal, or political crises evident in current reporting. Potential shifts would require unforeseen events like sudden incapacity or major scandals, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$17,431Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a high implied probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting his position as the sitting president with two years remaining in his term. Recent developments center on his administration's active legislative agenda, including cabinet confirmations, border security measures, and economic policy initiatives that indicate sustained engagement with the role. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations occur only under extreme pressure, such as the 1974 Nixon case, with no comparable health, legal, or political crises evident in current reporting. Potential shifts would require unforeseen events like sudden incapacity or major scandals, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,431Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a high implied probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting his position as the sitting president with two years remaining in his term. Recent developments center on his administration's active legislative agenda, including cabinet confirmations, border security measures, and economic policy initiatives that indicate sustained engagement with the role. Historical precedent shows presidential resignations occur only under extreme pressure, such as the 1974 Nixon case, with no comparable health, legal, or political crises evident in current reporting. Potential shifts would require unforeseen events like sudden incapacity or major scandals, though none have materialized to date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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