Recent polling aggregates updated through August 21 place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s, with figures such as the New York Times average near 38 percent, Silver Bulletin at 38.2 percent, and RealClearPolitics at 39.5 percent. Individual surveys released in mid-August ranged from 30 percent to 39 percent, reflecting a steady decline over the prior year amid economic pressures including gas prices and public views on foreign policy costs. This clustering around 38 percent drives the strong trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 interval at 50.5 percent probability, as market pricing incorporates the wisdom of crowds assessing the latest available survey data rather than isolated lower readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNote d'approbation de Trump le 21 août ?
Note d'approbation de Trump le 21 août ?
38,5–38,9 3.1%
37,0–37,4 2.9%
<37,0 <1%
39,0+ <1%
$5,691 Vol.
$5,691 Vol.
21 août 2026
<37,0
<1%
37,0–37,4
3%
37,5–37,9
37%
38,0–38,4
51%
38,5–38,9
3%
39,0+
<1%
38,5–38,9 3.1%
37,0–37,4 2.9%
<37,0 <1%
39,0+ <1%
$5,691 Vol.
$5,691 Vol.
21 août 2026
<37,0
$704 Vol.
<1%
37,0–37,4
$433 Vol.
3%
37,5–37,9
$1,799 Vol.
37%
38,0–38,4
$1,717 Vol.
51%
38,5–38,9
$628 Vol.
3%
39,0+
$411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates updated through August 21 place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s, with figures such as the New York Times average near 38 percent, Silver Bulletin at 38.2 percent, and RealClearPolitics at 39.5 percent. Individual surveys released in mid-August ranged from 30 percent to 39 percent, reflecting a steady decline over the prior year amid economic pressures including gas prices and public views on foreign policy costs. This clustering around 38 percent drives the strong trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 interval at 50.5 percent probability, as market pricing incorporates the wisdom of crowds assessing the latest available survey data rather than isolated lower readings.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$5,691Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates updated through August 21 place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s, with figures such as the New York Times average near 38 percent, Silver Bulletin at 38.2 percent, and RealClearPolitics at 39.5 percent. Individual surveys released in mid-August ranged from 30 percent to 39 percent, reflecting a steady decline over the prior year amid economic pressures including gas prices and public views on foreign policy costs. This clustering around 38 percent drives the strong trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 interval at 50.5 percent probability, as market pricing incorporates the wisdom of crowds assessing the latest available survey data rather than isolated lower readings.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$5,691Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates updated through August 21 place President Trump's job approval in the upper 30s, with figures such as the New York Times average near 38 percent, Silver Bulletin at 38.2 percent, and RealClearPolitics at 39.5 percent. Individual surveys released in mid-August ranged from 30 percent to 39 percent, reflecting a steady decline over the prior year amid economic pressures including gas prices and public views on foreign policy costs. This clustering around 38 percent drives the strong trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 interval at 50.5 percent probability, as market pricing incorporates the wisdom of crowds assessing the latest available survey data rather than isolated lower readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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