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icon for Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

icon for Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$786 Vol.

Polymarket

30 septembre 2026

$26 Vol.

6%

31 décembre 2026

$748 Vol.

6%

30 juin 2027

$11 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, now 78, has consistently signaled through associates and past statements his intent to serve well beyond the current term, with sources confirming no retirement plans for 2026. Earlier speculation around strategic timing before the November midterms has faded without announcements, health concerns, or procedural signals. The absence of public indications from Thomas or the Court, combined with the administration's expressed preference for continuity on the bench, reinforces trader consensus against an imminent departure. Key upcoming factors include the conclusion of the 2025-2026 term and any Senate dynamics post-midterms that could influence confirmation prospects for a successor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$786
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.Justice Clarence Thomas, now 78, has consistently signaled through associates and past statements his intent to serve well beyond the current term, with sources confirming no retirement plans for 2026. Earlier speculation around strategic timing before the November midterms has faded without announcements, health concerns, or procedural signals. The absence of public indications from Thomas or the Court, combined with the administration's expressed preference for continuity on the bench, reinforces trader consensus against an imminent departure. Key upcoming factors include the conclusion of the 2025-2026 term and any Senate dynamics post-midterms that could influence confirmation prospects for a successor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$786
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

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Questions fréquentes

« Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2027 » à 52%, suivi de « 30 septembre 2026 » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 52¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est « 30 juin 2027 » à 52%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 52% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30 septembre 2026 » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Clarence Thomas annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.