Nicolás Maduro, in U.S. custody since his January 2026 apprehension by federal forces, faces a superseding Southern District of New York indictment on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and related charges originally unsealed in 2020. After pleading not guilty and seeing defense motions to dismiss rejected by Judge Alvin Hellerstein on March 30, pre-trial proceedings continue, with a return to court set for June 30. Traders' 89% consensus on "No" reflects procedural complexities, robust legal challenges—including claims of blocked defense funds—and historical patterns in high-profile foreign leader prosecutions, where full convictions on all counts prove rare amid potential plea deals or evidentiary disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$102,578 Vol.
$102,578 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Oui
$102,578 Vol.
$102,578 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro, in U.S. custody since his January 2026 apprehension by federal forces, faces a superseding Southern District of New York indictment on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and related charges originally unsealed in 2020. After pleading not guilty and seeing defense motions to dismiss rejected by Judge Alvin Hellerstein on March 30, pre-trial proceedings continue, with a return to court set for June 30. Traders' 89% consensus on "No" reflects procedural complexities, robust legal challenges—including claims of blocked defense funds—and historical patterns in high-profile foreign leader prosecutions, where full convictions on all counts prove rare amid potential plea deals or evidentiary disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$102,578Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro, in U.S. custody since his January 2026 apprehension by federal forces, faces a superseding Southern District of New York indictment on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and related charges originally unsealed in 2020. After pleading not guilty and seeing defense motions to dismiss rejected by Judge Alvin Hellerstein on March 30, pre-trial proceedings continue, with a return to court set for June 30. Traders' 89% consensus on "No" reflects procedural complexities, robust legal challenges—including claims of blocked defense funds—and historical patterns in high-profile foreign leader prosecutions, where full convictions on all counts prove rare amid potential plea deals or evidentiary disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,578Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro, in U.S. custody since his January 2026 apprehension by federal forces, faces a superseding Southern District of New York indictment on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and related charges originally unsealed in 2020. After pleading not guilty and seeing defense motions to dismiss rejected by Judge Alvin Hellerstein on March 30, pre-trial proceedings continue, with a return to court set for June 30. Traders' 89% consensus on "No" reflects procedural complexities, robust legal challenges—including claims of blocked defense funds—and historical patterns in high-profile foreign leader prosecutions, where full convictions on all counts prove rare amid potential plea deals or evidentiary disputes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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