U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$124,910 Vol.
$124,910 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
$124,910 Vol.
$124,910 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$124,910Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,910Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. prosecutors unsealed a superseding indictment in January 2026 charging former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses after his capture in a U.S. military operation. Maduro and co-defendants pleaded not guilty, with pretrial proceedings continuing into March 2026 when a federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss counts. The narco-terrorism statute under 21 U.S.C. § 960a has seen limited successful trials, with some prior convictions overturned on appeal due to witness credibility and evidentiary issues. As of mid-June 2026, the case remains in the pretrial or early trial phase ahead of the next scheduled appearance, creating substantial procedural and substantive hurdles to convictions on every count. Trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% probability for “No” aligns with these ongoing uncertainties in a complex international prosecution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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