US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 following his capture by US forces, charging him with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 2027 trial date after a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges to the circumstances of Maduro’s removal from Venezuela, with arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign roughly 27 percent odds of conviction on every count, reflecting the extended timeline to jury resolution, the precedent of complex foreign-leader prosecutions such as that of Manuel Noriega, and the potential for pretrial rulings or plea developments to narrow or eliminate charges before the June 2027 start.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
27% chance
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Oui
27% chance
$126,284 Vol.
$126,284 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 following his capture by US forces, charging him with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 2027 trial date after a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges to the circumstances of Maduro’s removal from Venezuela, with arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign roughly 27 percent odds of conviction on every count, reflecting the extended timeline to jury resolution, the precedent of complex foreign-leader prosecutions such as that of Manuel Noriega, and the potential for pretrial rulings or plea developments to narrow or eliminate charges before the June 2027 start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$126,284Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 following his capture by US forces, charging him with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 2027 trial date after a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges to the circumstances of Maduro’s removal from Venezuela, with arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign roughly 27 percent odds of conviction on every count, reflecting the extended timeline to jury resolution, the precedent of complex foreign-leader prosecutions such as that of Manuel Noriega, and the potential for pretrial rulings or plea developments to narrow or eliminate charges before the June 2027 start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$126,284Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal prosecutors in the Southern District of New York unsealed a superseding indictment against Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 following his capture by US forces, charging him with narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses tied to alleged state-sponsored trafficking networks. Maduro and co-defendants, including his wife Cilia Flores, entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, and the court set a June 2027 trial date after a July 2026 pretrial hearing. Defense counsel has signaled plans to file motions by early September 2026 seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and challenges to the circumstances of Maduro’s removal from Venezuela, with arguments scheduled for November. Traders assign roughly 27 percent odds of conviction on every count, reflecting the extended timeline to jury resolution, the precedent of complex foreign-leader prosecutions such as that of Manuel Noriega, and the potential for pretrial rulings or plea developments to narrow or eliminate charges before the June 2027 start.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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