Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats holding seven safer seats while targeting four narrow GOP districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—decided by small margins in 2024. Trader consensus clusters on 8-11 Democratic seats because these races remain rated toss-up or lean Republican by most forecasters, reflecting balanced candidate matchups, suburban turnout dynamics, and the broader national midterm environment. Incumbent Republicans face Democratic challengers backed by strong fundraising and state-level momentum from Governor Josh Shapiro's re-election bid. Recent rating adjustments in competitive districts and ongoing polling have kept probabilities tightly bunched, with separation likely hinging on late-cycle shifts in voter preference or turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs and central Pennsylvania battlegrounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour9 35%
11 27%
10 19%
8 13%
$15,070 Vol.
$15,070 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
<7
<1%
7
3%
8
13%
9
35%
10
19%
11
27%
12+
5%
9 35%
11 27%
10 19%
8 13%
$15,070 Vol.
$15,070 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
<7
$528 Vol.
<1%
7
$3,000 Vol.
3%
8
$1,566 Vol.
13%
9
$2,880 Vol.
35%
10
$2,543 Vol.
19%
11
$3,867 Vol.
27%
12+
$686 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats holding seven safer seats while targeting four narrow GOP districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—decided by small margins in 2024. Trader consensus clusters on 8-11 Democratic seats because these races remain rated toss-up or lean Republican by most forecasters, reflecting balanced candidate matchups, suburban turnout dynamics, and the broader national midterm environment. Incumbent Republicans face Democratic challengers backed by strong fundraising and state-level momentum from Governor Josh Shapiro's re-election bid. Recent rating adjustments in competitive districts and ongoing polling have kept probabilities tightly bunched, with separation likely hinging on late-cycle shifts in voter preference or turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs and central Pennsylvania battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$15,070Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats holding seven safer seats while targeting four narrow GOP districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—decided by small margins in 2024. Trader consensus clusters on 8-11 Democratic seats because these races remain rated toss-up or lean Republican by most forecasters, reflecting balanced candidate matchups, suburban turnout dynamics, and the broader national midterm environment. Incumbent Republicans face Democratic challengers backed by strong fundraising and state-level momentum from Governor Josh Shapiro's re-election bid. Recent rating adjustments in competitive districts and ongoing polling have kept probabilities tightly bunched, with separation likely hinging on late-cycle shifts in voter preference or turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs and central Pennsylvania battlegrounds.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Pennsylvania US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,070Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Pennsylvania's 17 congressional districts feature a post-2024 Republican 10-7 edge, with Democrats holding seven safer seats while targeting four narrow GOP districts—PA-1, PA-7, PA-8, and PA-10—decided by small margins in 2024. Trader consensus clusters on 8-11 Democratic seats because these races remain rated toss-up or lean Republican by most forecasters, reflecting balanced candidate matchups, suburban turnout dynamics, and the broader national midterm environment. Incumbent Republicans face Democratic challengers backed by strong fundraising and state-level momentum from Governor Josh Shapiro's re-election bid. Recent rating adjustments in competitive districts and ongoing polling have kept probabilities tightly bunched, with separation likely hinging on late-cycle shifts in voter preference or turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs and central Pennsylvania battlegrounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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