Trader consensus heavily favors no federal charges against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by June 30, driven by the Department of Justice's April 24 announcement dropping its criminal probe into alleged Fed headquarters renovation overruns and congressional testimony. Prosecutors, led by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro, found insufficient evidence after months of subpoenas, clearing Powell without indictment and paving the way for other Fed nominations. With six weeks remaining and no new investigations reported, structural barriers like the Fed's independence and lack of fresh catalysts reinforce this near-certain positioning. Only an abrupt reopening by DOJ or unforeseen evidence could shift odds, though historical patterns show rare late indictments for sitting officials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$265,854 Vol.
$265,854 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$265,854 Vol.
$265,854 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no federal charges against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by June 30, driven by the Department of Justice's April 24 announcement dropping its criminal probe into alleged Fed headquarters renovation overruns and congressional testimony. Prosecutors, led by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro, found insufficient evidence after months of subpoenas, clearing Powell without indictment and paving the way for other Fed nominations. With six weeks remaining and no new investigations reported, structural barriers like the Fed's independence and lack of fresh catalysts reinforce this near-certain positioning. Only an abrupt reopening by DOJ or unforeseen evidence could shift odds, though historical patterns show rare late indictments for sitting officials.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$265,854Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no federal charges against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by June 30, driven by the Department of Justice's April 24 announcement dropping its criminal probe into alleged Fed headquarters renovation overruns and congressional testimony. Prosecutors, led by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro, found insufficient evidence after months of subpoenas, clearing Powell without indictment and paving the way for other Fed nominations. With six weeks remaining and no new investigations reported, structural barriers like the Fed's independence and lack of fresh catalysts reinforce this near-certain positioning. Only an abrupt reopening by DOJ or unforeseen evidence could shift odds, though historical patterns show rare late indictments for sitting officials.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$265,854Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no federal charges against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by June 30, driven by the Department of Justice's April 24 announcement dropping its criminal probe into alleged Fed headquarters renovation overruns and congressional testimony. Prosecutors, led by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro, found insufficient evidence after months of subpoenas, clearing Powell without indictment and paving the way for other Fed nominations. With six weeks remaining and no new investigations reported, structural barriers like the Fed's independence and lack of fresh catalysts reinforce this near-certain positioning. Only an abrupt reopening by DOJ or unforeseen evidence could shift odds, though historical patterns show rare late indictments for sitting officials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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