**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range (46.5% implied probability) as the consensus outcome, followed by sub-40 (25.5%) and 65–89 (19.5%).** This positioning reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting frequency on X, where short windows—especially mid-to-late weekend stretches—often produce moderate output in the low-to-mid dozens rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Recent similar three-day markets (e.g., August 13–15) showed strong trader preference for the 40–64 bracket, indicating the market views typical activity levels, absent major news catalysts, as the most probable range. No high-impact events, product launches, or political developments appear imminent for the period that would drive elevated engagement, keeping probabilities for 90+ brackets minimal. Musk’s volume can fluctuate with real-time developments, but the current distribution underscores trader expectations of steady rather than exceptional activity over the three days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 47%
Moins de 40 26%
65-89 20%
90-114 4.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
Moins de 40
26%
40-64
47%
65-89
20%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
Moins de 40 26%
65-89 20%
90-114 4.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 août 2026
Moins de 40
$129 Vol.
26%
40-64
$453 Vol.
47%
65-89
$76 Vol.
20%
90-114
$530 Vol.
5%
115-139
$0 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,833 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$700 Vol.
<1%
240+
$700 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range (46.5% implied probability) as the consensus outcome, followed by sub-40 (25.5%) and 65–89 (19.5%).**
This positioning reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting frequency on X, where short windows—especially mid-to-late weekend stretches—often produce moderate output in the low-to-mid dozens rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Recent similar three-day markets (e.g., August 13–15) showed strong trader preference for the 40–64 bracket, indicating the market views typical activity levels, absent major news catalysts, as the most probable range.
No high-impact events, product launches, or political developments appear imminent for the period that would drive elevated engagement, keeping probabilities for 90+ brackets minimal. Musk’s volume can fluctuate with real-time developments, but the current distribution underscores trader expectations of steady rather than exceptional activity over the three days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$9,896Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range (46.5% implied probability) as the consensus outcome, followed by sub-40 (25.5%) and 65–89 (19.5%).**
This positioning reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting frequency on X, where short windows—especially mid-to-late weekend stretches—often produce moderate output in the low-to-mid dozens rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Recent similar three-day markets (e.g., August 13–15) showed strong trader preference for the 40–64 bracket, indicating the market views typical activity levels, absent major news catalysts, as the most probable range.
No high-impact events, product launches, or political developments appear imminent for the period that would drive elevated engagement, keeping probabilities for 90+ brackets minimal. Musk’s volume can fluctuate with real-time developments, but the current distribution underscores trader expectations of steady rather than exceptional activity over the three days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,896Date de fin
19 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 17–19, 2026, centers on the 40–64 range (46.5% implied probability) as the consensus outcome, followed by sub-40 (25.5%) and 65–89 (19.5%).** This positioning reflects historical patterns in Musk’s posting frequency on X, where short windows—especially mid-to-late weekend stretches—often produce moderate output in the low-to-mid dozens rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Recent similar three-day markets (e.g., August 13–15) showed strong trader preference for the 40–64 bracket, indicating the market views typical activity levels, absent major news catalysts, as the most probable range. No high-impact events, product launches, or political developments appear imminent for the period that would drive elevated engagement, keeping probabilities for 90+ brackets minimal. Musk’s volume can fluctuate with real-time developments, but the current distribution underscores trader expectations of steady rather than exceptional activity over the three days.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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