Traders see Elon Musk's established high-volume X activity as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-219 tweet range for the coming week. Recent daily counts near or above 40 posts, fueled by ongoing SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok-related commentary, set a baseline that favors elevated totals, while the narrow spreads across leading bins reflect week-to-week fluctuations tied to breaking news cycles and platform engagement. With no major scheduled catalysts on the immediate horizon, sentiment hinges on whether routine business updates and real-time reactions push volume toward the upper or lower end of that band, underscoring the market's recognition of Musk's unpredictable posting cadence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$140,794 Vol.
$140,794 Vol.
25 août 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
6%
140-159
15%
160-179
20%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
10%
240-259
6%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
160-179 20%
200-219 19%
140-159 15%
$140,794 Vol.
$140,794 Vol.
25 août 2026
<20
$4,671 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,671 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$7,515 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$19,409 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$17,661 Vol.
1%
100-119
$11,626 Vol.
2%
120-139
$6,576 Vol.
6%
140-159
$594 Vol.
15%
160-179
$3,088 Vol.
20%
180-199
$3,999 Vol.
21%
200-219
$682 Vol.
19%
220-239
$453 Vol.
10%
240-259
$815 Vol.
6%
260-279
$927 Vol.
3%
280-299
$2,991 Vol.
2%
300-319
$2,505 Vol.
1%
320-339
$658 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$530 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$969 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$6,159 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$7,248 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$5,515 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$515 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$515 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
500+
$31,988 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's established high-volume X activity as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-219 tweet range for the coming week. Recent daily counts near or above 40 posts, fueled by ongoing SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok-related commentary, set a baseline that favors elevated totals, while the narrow spreads across leading bins reflect week-to-week fluctuations tied to breaking news cycles and platform engagement. With no major scheduled catalysts on the immediate horizon, sentiment hinges on whether routine business updates and real-time reactions push volume toward the upper or lower end of that band, underscoring the market's recognition of Musk's unpredictable posting cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$140,794Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk's established high-volume X activity as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-219 tweet range for the coming week. Recent daily counts near or above 40 posts, fueled by ongoing SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok-related commentary, set a baseline that favors elevated totals, while the narrow spreads across leading bins reflect week-to-week fluctuations tied to breaking news cycles and platform engagement. With no major scheduled catalysts on the immediate horizon, sentiment hinges on whether routine business updates and real-time reactions push volume toward the upper or lower end of that band, underscoring the market's recognition of Musk's unpredictable posting cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$140,794Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk's established high-volume X activity as the core driver behind the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 160-219 tweet range for the coming week. Recent daily counts near or above 40 posts, fueled by ongoing SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok-related commentary, set a baseline that favors elevated totals, while the narrow spreads across leading bins reflect week-to-week fluctuations tied to breaking news cycles and platform engagement. With no major scheduled catalysts on the immediate horizon, sentiment hinges on whether routine business updates and real-time reactions push volume toward the upper or lower end of that band, underscoring the market's recognition of Musk's unpredictable posting cadence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes