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icon for Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ?

Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ?

Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ?

<40 64%

40-64 36%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

Polymarket

$424,239 Vol.

<40 64%

40-64 36%

65-89 <1%

90-114 <1%

Polymarket

$424,239 Vol.

<40

$114,751 Vol.

64%

40-64

$67,821 Vol.

36%

65-89

$88,489 Vol.

<1%

90-114

$67,031 Vol.

<1%

115-139

$48,694 Vol.

<1%

140-164

$16,923 Vol.

<1%

165-189

$8,347 Vol.

<1%

190-214

$3,264 Vol.

<1%

215-239

$4,806 Vol.

<1%

240+

$4,113 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Weekend timing and an absence of major Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related catalysts have anchored trader consensus around the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet buckets for Elon Musk’s August 15–17 activity, with implied probabilities of 63.5% and 36.5% respectively. Historical patterns show reduced posting volume and fewer threaded replies on weekends absent breaking news or product milestones, and current market data reflect a quiet stretch with no viral cultural moments or regulatory developments to accelerate engagement. The short three-day window leaves little runway for a late surge, keeping higher ranges at negligible odds and reinforcing the moderate-range outlook as resolution approaches.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$424,239
Date de fin
17 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Weekend timing and an absence of major Tesla, SpaceX, or X-related catalysts have anchored trader consensus around the sub-40 and 40-64 tweet buckets for Elon Musk’s August 15–17 activity, with implied probabilities of 63.5% and 36.5% respectively. Historical patterns show reduced posting volume and fewer threaded replies on weekends absent breaking news or product milestones, and current market data reflect a quiet stretch with no viral cultural moments or regulatory developments to accelerate engagement. The short three-day window leaves little runway for a late surge, keeping higher ranges at negligible odds and reinforcing the moderate-range outlook as resolution approaches.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$424,239
Date de fin
17 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Questions fréquentes

« Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <40 » à 64%, suivi de « 40-64 » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 64¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 64% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ? » a généré $424.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ? », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ? » est « <40 » à 64%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 64% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 40-64 » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Elon Musk # tweets 15 août - 17 août 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.