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Politique·Brésil

La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ?

icon for La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ?
Politique·Brésil

La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ?

Oui

6% chance
Polymarket

$70,813 Vol.

Oui

6% chance
Polymarket

$70,813 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Brazilian Congress faces substantial procedural and political hurdles in removing any Supreme Federal Court justice through impeachment, a process requiring a two-thirds Senate majority and rarely advancing beyond preliminary investigations. Recent developments, including an April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Alexandre de Moraes, and Dias Toffoli over alleged misconduct, have intensified scrutiny yet produced no formal Senate action or votes. Institutional pushback, including prior rulings limiting standing for impeachment petitions, combined with the current administration's influence over legislative priorities and the short timeline before 2027, has reinforced trader consensus that no removal will occur. This aligns with historical patterns where STF members retain office absent broad cross-party agreement on accountability measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,813
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Brazilian Congress faces substantial procedural and political hurdles in removing any Supreme Federal Court justice through impeachment, a process requiring a two-thirds Senate majority and rarely advancing beyond preliminary investigations. Recent developments, including an April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Justices Gilmar Mendes, Alexandre de Moraes, and Dias Toffoli over alleged misconduct, have intensified scrutiny yet produced no formal Senate action or votes. Institutional pushback, including prior rulings limiting standing for impeachment petitions, combined with the current administration's influence over legislative priorities and the short timeline before 2027, has reinforced trader consensus that no removal will occur. This aligns with historical patterns where STF members retain office absent broad cross-party agreement on accountability measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,813
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Un juge du STF brésilien a-t-il été destitué par impeachment avant 2027 ? » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 6¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 6% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » a généré $70.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 8, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » est « Un juge du STF brésilien a-t-il été destitué par impeachment avant 2027 ? » à seulement 6%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La STF Justice brésilienne a-t-elle été révoquée par mise en accusation avant 2027 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.