SpaceX’s Starship Version 3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, probes, and propellant transfer connections explicitly designed for orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship refueling. Official updates outline a near-term test sequence in which one Starship launches as a tanker to link with a second in low Earth orbit, building on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent Flight 12 V3 testing validated core systems but has not yet demonstrated the full docking profile. This capability remains central to NASA’s Artemis lunar lander requirements and deeper-space ambitions, with timelines hinging on rapid iteration of the new hardware amid ongoing flight cadence and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects hardware readiness offset by the technical complexity of autonomous in-orbit mating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
December 31, 2026?
37%
December 31, 2027?
43%
$1 Vol.
December 31, 2026?
$0 Vol.
37%
December 31, 2027?
$1 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Starship Version 3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, probes, and propellant transfer connections explicitly designed for orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship refueling. Official updates outline a near-term test sequence in which one Starship launches as a tanker to link with a second in low Earth orbit, building on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent Flight 12 V3 testing validated core systems but has not yet demonstrated the full docking profile. This capability remains central to NASA’s Artemis lunar lander requirements and deeper-space ambitions, with timelines hinging on rapid iteration of the new hardware amid ongoing flight cadence and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects hardware readiness offset by the technical complexity of autonomous in-orbit mating.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$1Date de fin
31 déc. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Starship Version 3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, probes, and propellant transfer connections explicitly designed for orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship refueling. Official updates outline a near-term test sequence in which one Starship launches as a tanker to link with a second in low Earth orbit, building on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent Flight 12 V3 testing validated core systems but has not yet demonstrated the full docking profile. This capability remains central to NASA’s Artemis lunar lander requirements and deeper-space ambitions, with timelines hinging on rapid iteration of the new hardware amid ongoing flight cadence and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects hardware readiness offset by the technical complexity of autonomous in-orbit mating.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1Date de fin
31 déc. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s Starship Version 3 vehicles now integrate dedicated docking ports, drogues, probes, and propellant transfer connections explicitly designed for orbital rendezvous and ship-to-ship refueling. Official updates outline a near-term test sequence in which one Starship launches as a tanker to link with a second in low Earth orbit, building on DragonEye sensors proven during dozens of ISS dockings. Recent Flight 12 V3 testing validated core systems but has not yet demonstrated the full docking profile. This capability remains central to NASA’s Artemis lunar lander requirements and deeper-space ambitions, with timelines hinging on rapid iteration of the new hardware amid ongoing flight cadence and regulatory approvals. Trader sentiment reflects hardware readiness offset by the technical complexity of autonomous in-orbit mating.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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