SpaceX’s push toward orbital refueling for NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System remains the main driver of trader sentiment on two Starships docking. Version 3 vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, automated couplers, and DragonEye sensors, with Flight 13 in July 2026 validating key deorbit and attitude-control data needed for rendezvous. The upcoming Flight 14, targeting mid-to-late September 2026, marks the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit and Starlink V3 deployment, setting the stage for dedicated tanker and depot missions later in the year. Multiple rapid-turnaround launches from upgraded pads will be required to demonstrate propellant transfer, while regulatory approvals and precise relative navigation pose ongoing hurdles. Traders weigh SpaceX’s iterative cadence against the technical complexity of mating two large cryogenic vehicles in orbit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$70,296 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre 2026
3%
31 décembre 2027
51%
$70,296 Vol.
31 décembre 2026
$46,234 Vol.
3%
31 décembre 2027
$24,063 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s push toward orbital refueling for NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System remains the main driver of trader sentiment on two Starships docking. Version 3 vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, automated couplers, and DragonEye sensors, with Flight 13 in July 2026 validating key deorbit and attitude-control data needed for rendezvous. The upcoming Flight 14, targeting mid-to-late September 2026, marks the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit and Starlink V3 deployment, setting the stage for dedicated tanker and depot missions later in the year. Multiple rapid-turnaround launches from upgraded pads will be required to demonstrate propellant transfer, while regulatory approvals and precise relative navigation pose ongoing hurdles. Traders weigh SpaceX’s iterative cadence against the technical complexity of mating two large cryogenic vehicles in orbit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$70,296Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s push toward orbital refueling for NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System remains the main driver of trader sentiment on two Starships docking. Version 3 vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, automated couplers, and DragonEye sensors, with Flight 13 in July 2026 validating key deorbit and attitude-control data needed for rendezvous. The upcoming Flight 14, targeting mid-to-late September 2026, marks the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit and Starlink V3 deployment, setting the stage for dedicated tanker and depot missions later in the year. Multiple rapid-turnaround launches from upgraded pads will be required to demonstrate propellant transfer, while regulatory approvals and precise relative navigation pose ongoing hurdles. Traders weigh SpaceX’s iterative cadence against the technical complexity of mating two large cryogenic vehicles in orbit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$70,296Date de fin
1 janv. 2028Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...SpaceX’s push toward orbital refueling for NASA’s Artemis Human Landing System remains the main driver of trader sentiment on two Starships docking. Version 3 vehicles now incorporate dedicated docking ports, automated couplers, and DragonEye sensors, with Flight 13 in July 2026 validating key deorbit and attitude-control data needed for rendezvous. The upcoming Flight 14, targeting mid-to-late September 2026, marks the first attempt at stable low-Earth orbit and Starlink V3 deployment, setting the stage for dedicated tanker and depot missions later in the year. Multiple rapid-turnaround launches from upgraded pads will be required to demonstrate propellant transfer, while regulatory approvals and precise relative navigation pose ongoing hurdles. Traders weigh SpaceX’s iterative cadence against the technical complexity of mating two large cryogenic vehicles in orbit.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes