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icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
Polymarket

$6,464 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$1,427 Vol.

2%

December 31, 2026

$4,818 Vol.

32%

June 30, 2027

$219 Vol.

76%

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues advancing Starship infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A following the FAA’s early 2026 approval of up to 44 annual launches and landings there. As of August 2026, all 13 test flights have originated from Texas, with Flight 13 completing in July and Flight 14 targeted next from Starbase before any Florida shift. Company and U.S. Space Force statements point to a potential debut from the Space Coast in late summer or fall 2026 if Block 3 vehicles achieve reliable orbital performance and remaining pad work finishes. Key swing factors include FAA vehicle operator license timing, booster/ship transport logistics, and any delays in environmental or range coordination.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,464
Date de fin
30 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX continues advancing Starship infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A following the FAA’s early 2026 approval of up to 44 annual launches and landings there. As of August 2026, all 13 test flights have originated from Texas, with Flight 13 completing in July and Flight 14 targeted next from Starbase before any Florida shift. Company and U.S. Space Force statements point to a potential debut from the Space Coast in late summer or fall 2026 if Block 3 vehicles achieve reliable orbital performance and remaining pad work finishes. Key swing factors include FAA vehicle operator license timing, booster/ship transport logistics, and any delays in environmental or range coordination.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,464
Date de fin
30 juin 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « June 30, 2027 » à 76%, suivi de « December 31, 2026 » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 76¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? » est « June 30, 2027 » à 76%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 76% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « December 31, 2026 » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.