SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
31 août 2026
August 31, 2026
11%
December 31, 2026
70%
June 30, 2027
45%
$0.00 Vol.
August 31, 2026
$0 Vol.
11%
December 31, 2026
$0 Vol.
70%
June 30, 2027
$0 Vol.
45%
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 juin 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 juin 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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