The absence of any credible indicators of internal military discontent or political fracturing within Ukraine has produced overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt materializing by June 30. Under continued martial law, President Zelensky maintains consolidated control over security institutions and parliament, with Ukrainian forces remaining focused on external defense operations including long-range strikes against Russian targets. Recent public statements from Kyiv officials have centered on Russian reconnaissance of decision-making centers rather than domestic challenges, while historical patterns show limited precedent for successful coups amid active external conflict and broad societal cohesion. The narrow remaining window to June 30 offers little scope for sudden shifts absent major battlefield reversals or institutional breakdowns, both of which lack supporting evidence at present.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$12,266 Vol.
$12,266 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any credible indicators of internal military discontent or political fracturing within Ukraine has produced overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt materializing by June 30. Under continued martial law, President Zelensky maintains consolidated control over security institutions and parliament, with Ukrainian forces remaining focused on external defense operations including long-range strikes against Russian targets. Recent public statements from Kyiv officials have centered on Russian reconnaissance of decision-making centers rather than domestic challenges, while historical patterns show limited precedent for successful coups amid active external conflict and broad societal cohesion. The narrow remaining window to June 30 offers little scope for sudden shifts absent major battlefield reversals or institutional breakdowns, both of which lack supporting evidence at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$12,266Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any credible indicators of internal military discontent or political fracturing within Ukraine has produced overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt materializing by June 30. Under continued martial law, President Zelensky maintains consolidated control over security institutions and parliament, with Ukrainian forces remaining focused on external defense operations including long-range strikes against Russian targets. Recent public statements from Kyiv officials have centered on Russian reconnaissance of decision-making centers rather than domestic challenges, while historical patterns show limited precedent for successful coups amid active external conflict and broad societal cohesion. The narrow remaining window to June 30 offers little scope for sudden shifts absent major battlefield reversals or institutional breakdowns, both of which lack supporting evidence at present.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,266Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of any credible indicators of internal military discontent or political fracturing within Ukraine has produced overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt materializing by June 30. Under continued martial law, President Zelensky maintains consolidated control over security institutions and parliament, with Ukrainian forces remaining focused on external defense operations including long-range strikes against Russian targets. Recent public statements from Kyiv officials have centered on Russian reconnaissance of decision-making centers rather than domestic challenges, while historical patterns show limited precedent for successful coups amid active external conflict and broad societal cohesion. The narrow remaining window to June 30 offers little scope for sudden shifts absent major battlefield reversals or institutional breakdowns, both of which lack supporting evidence at present.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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