Skip to main content
icon for Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

icon for Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé)

Anthropic 87%

Google 3.9%

OpenAI 3.5%

Meta 3.2%

Polymarket

$10,699 Vol.

Anthropic 87%

Google 3.9%

OpenAI 3.5%

Meta 3.2%

Polymarket

$10,699 Vol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$5,641 Vol.

87%

icon for Google

Google

$209 Vol.

4%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$239 Vol.

4%

icon for Meta

Meta

$229 Vol.

3%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$287 Vol.

3%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$319 Vol.

1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$327 Vol.

1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$247 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$245 Vol.

1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$209 Vol.

1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$263 Vol.

1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$247 Vol.

1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$235 Vol.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$248 Vol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$243 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$119 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$247 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$249 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$243 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude family maintains a decisive edge in independent benchmarks and leaderboards as of August 2026, driving the 86.5% market-implied probability it will hold the #1 AI model by end of October. Multiple Claude variants, including Opus 5 and Fable 5, lead or cluster at the top of Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, BenchAlign scores, coding agentic evaluations, and Arena-style rankings following the July 24 release of Opus 5 at competitive $5/$25 pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Google’s Gemini variants trail noticeably on the same metrics, keeping their implied probabilities below 4%. With roughly two months remaining and no confirmed rival releases on the immediate horizon, traders see limited scope for a sudden reversal before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$10,699
Date de fin
31 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude family maintains a decisive edge in independent benchmarks and leaderboards as of August 2026, driving the 86.5% market-implied probability it will hold the #1 AI model by end of October. Multiple Claude variants, including Opus 5 and Fable 5, lead or cluster at the top of Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, BenchAlign scores, coding agentic evaluations, and Arena-style rankings following the July 24 release of Opus 5 at competitive $5/$25 pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and Google’s Gemini variants trail noticeably on the same metrics, keeping their implied probabilities below 4%. With roughly two months remaining and no confirmed rival releases on the immediate horizon, traders see limited scope for a sudden reversal before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$10,699
Date de fin
31 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 21 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Anthropic » à 87%, suivi de « Google » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » a généré $10.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) », parcourez les 21 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » est « Anthropic » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Google » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle entreprise a le modèle d'IA n °1 fin octobre ? (Contrôle de style activé) » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.