Europe's deep pool of elite national teams, including current favorites France, Spain, England, and Portugal, underpins the 71.5% implied probability, reflecting their consistent recent form, squad depth, and historical dominance in major tournaments. Spain's Euro 2024 title and France's strong group-stage start with Kylian Mbappé in top scoring position have reinforced trader consensus, while Argentina and Brazil anchor South America's 19.5% share as the only realistic challengers from CONMEBOL. Other confederations trail due to fewer competitive sides reaching deep knockout stages, with early 2026 results showing limited upsets from Africa, Asia, or CONCACAF. Odds movements have remained stable as group play advances, underscoring Europe's structural advantages in talent distribution and experience.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuel continent remportera la Coupe du monde ?
Europe (UEFA) 69%
Amérique du Sud (CONMEBOL) 26%
Amérique du Nord (CONCACAF) 3.6%
Afrique (CAF) 2.1%
$7,033,175 Vol.
$7,033,175 Vol.
Europe (UEFA)
69%
Amérique du Sud (CONMEBOL)
26%
Amérique du Nord (CONCACAF)
4%
Afrique (CAF)
2%
Asie (AFC)
1%
Océanie (OCF)
<1%
Europe (UEFA) 69%
Amérique du Sud (CONMEBOL) 26%
Amérique du Nord (CONCACAF) 3.6%
Afrique (CAF) 2.1%
$7,033,175 Vol.
$7,033,175 Vol.
Europe (UEFA)
69%
Amérique du Sud (CONMEBOL)
26%
Amérique du Nord (CONCACAF)
4%
Afrique (CAF)
2%
Asie (AFC)
1%
Océanie (OCF)
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's deep pool of elite national teams, including current favorites France, Spain, England, and Portugal, underpins the 71.5% implied probability, reflecting their consistent recent form, squad depth, and historical dominance in major tournaments. Spain's Euro 2024 title and France's strong group-stage start with Kylian Mbappé in top scoring position have reinforced trader consensus, while Argentina and Brazil anchor South America's 19.5% share as the only realistic challengers from CONMEBOL. Other confederations trail due to fewer competitive sides reaching deep knockout stages, with early 2026 results showing limited upsets from Africa, Asia, or CONCACAF. Odds movements have remained stable as group play advances, underscoring Europe's structural advantages in talent distribution and experience.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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