The tight clustering of implied probabilities around Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane reflects their status as the only prior Golden Boot winners still active, combined with strong national-team trajectories and standout club seasons heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Mbappe’s consistent output in France’s qualifying campaign and Kane’s prolific scoring for club and country this cycle position both strikers to feature across multiple knockout rounds if their sides advance as expected. Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal and a broad group of in-form attackers from competitive squads add further depth, as no single player has pulled away in recent international windows or preseason reports. This distribution underscores the tournament’s depth and the premium traders place on goal-scoring volume in later stages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCoupe du monde : Golden Boot Winner
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 13%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
Erling Haaland 6%
$4,707,704 Vol.
$4,707,704 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
13%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Erling Haaland
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Lionel Messi
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Raphinha
4%
Lamine Yamal
3%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Luis Diaz
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 13%
Mikel Oyarzabal 9%
Erling Haaland 6%
$4,707,704 Vol.
$4,707,704 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
13%
Mikel Oyarzabal
9%
Erling Haaland
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
5%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Lionel Messi
4%
Michael Olise
4%
Raphinha
4%
Lamine Yamal
3%
Vinicius Junior
3%
Ferran Torres
3%
Ousmane Dembele
2%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Luis Diaz
1%
Deniz Undav
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Depay Memphis
1%
Viktor Gyökeres
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Edin Džeko
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Heung-Min Son
<1%
Sadio Mane
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Rafael Leao
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Marcus Thuram
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Antoine Semenyo
<1%
Scott McTominay
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane reflects their status as the only prior Golden Boot winners still active, combined with strong national-team trajectories and standout club seasons heading into the expanded 2026 tournament. Mbappe’s consistent output in France’s qualifying campaign and Kane’s prolific scoring for club and country this cycle position both strikers to feature across multiple knockout rounds if their sides advance as expected. Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal and a broad group of in-form attackers from competitive squads add further depth, as no single player has pulled away in recent international windows or preseason reports. This distribution underscores the tournament’s depth and the premium traders place on goal-scoring volume in later stages.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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