USMNT trader consensus slightly favors a United States win at 48.5% implied probability for their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D opener against Paraguay on June 12 at SoFi Stadium, reflecting home advantage and talent edge despite a mounting injury crisis. Recent blows include Christian Pulisic's gluteal strain sidelining the captain, Johnny Cardoso's high-grade sprain ruling him out entirely, and doubts over Tim Weah and John Tolkin, weakening midfield and attack depth just weeks from the May 26 roster reveal. Paraguay's 26.5% and draw's 26.0% underscore Gustavo Alfaro's compact low-block tactics and counter-threat, bolstered by strong CONMEBOL qualifying wins over Brazil and Argentina, while USMNT's poor form—losses to Portugal (0-2) and Belgium (2-5) in March-April—heightens caution in this closely contested matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIf United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...USMNT trader consensus slightly favors a United States win at 48.5% implied probability for their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D opener against Paraguay on June 12 at SoFi Stadium, reflecting home advantage and talent edge despite a mounting injury crisis. Recent blows include Christian Pulisic's gluteal strain sidelining the captain, Johnny Cardoso's high-grade sprain ruling him out entirely, and doubts over Tim Weah and John Tolkin, weakening midfield and attack depth just weeks from the May 26 roster reveal. Paraguay's 26.5% and draw's 26.0% underscore Gustavo Alfaro's compact low-block tactics and counter-threat, bolstered by strong CONMEBOL qualifying wins over Brazil and Argentina, while USMNT's poor form—losses to Portugal (0-2) and Belgium (2-5) in March-April—heightens caution in this closely contested matchup.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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