With the 2026 FIFA World Cup less than 30 days away and 48 teams competing across North America, trader focus on nations reaching the final centers on squad depth and recent form among Europe’s top sides. France enters with the strongest overall roster balance and historical knockout success, though key absences like Hugo Ekitike test their attacking options. Spain’s possession-based style and unbeaten run in major tournaments keep them in contention, while Argentina’s defending-champion core offers proven experience despite a tougher path. Recent injury updates, including Rodrygo’s ACL tear for Brazil and Matthijs de Ligt’s back surgery for the Netherlands, have shifted attention toward teams with fewer disruptions. Group-stage matchups and rest advantages in the expanded format remain decisive variables for any side advancing deep into the knockout rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Spain
32%
France
31%
England
20%
Germany
16%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
22%
Netherlands
14%
Portugal
16%
Austria
13%
USA
11%
Tunisia
8%
Ghana
8%
Belgium
8%
Mexico
7%
Turkiye
7%
Scotland
7%
Croatia
7%
Switzerland
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
Ecuador
5%
Sweden
5%
Senegal
5%
DR Congo
4%
Cape Verde
4%
Paraguay
4%
Japan
3%
Morocco
3%
Uruguay
3%
Algeria
3%
Haiti
3%
Egypt
3%
Czechia
3%
Australia
3%
South Korea
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Panama
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
South Africa
2%
Iraq
2%
Curacao
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Canada
11%
New Zealand
1%
Qatar
1%
Jordan
8%
Iran
1%
$6,381 Vol.
Spain
32%
France
31%
England
20%
Germany
16%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
22%
Netherlands
14%
Portugal
16%
Austria
13%
USA
11%
Tunisia
8%
Ghana
8%
Belgium
8%
Mexico
7%
Turkiye
7%
Scotland
7%
Croatia
7%
Switzerland
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
Ecuador
5%
Sweden
5%
Senegal
5%
DR Congo
4%
Cape Verde
4%
Paraguay
4%
Japan
3%
Morocco
3%
Uruguay
3%
Algeria
3%
Haiti
3%
Egypt
3%
Czechia
3%
Australia
3%
South Korea
2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Panama
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
South Africa
2%
Iraq
2%
Curacao
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Canada
11%
New Zealand
1%
Qatar
1%
Jordan
8%
Iran
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With the 2026 FIFA World Cup less than 30 days away and 48 teams competing across North America, trader focus on nations reaching the final centers on squad depth and recent form among Europe’s top sides. France enters with the strongest overall roster balance and historical knockout success, though key absences like Hugo Ekitike test their attacking options. Spain’s possession-based style and unbeaten run in major tournaments keep them in contention, while Argentina’s defending-champion core offers proven experience despite a tougher path. Recent injury updates, including Rodrygo’s ACL tear for Brazil and Matthijs de Ligt’s back surgery for the Netherlands, have shifted attention toward teams with fewer disruptions. Group-stage matchups and rest advantages in the expanded format remain decisive variables for any side advancing deep into the knockout rounds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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