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Sports·Coupe Du Monde De La FIFA 2026

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

icon for Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports·Coupe Du Monde De La FIFA 2026

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

87% chance
Polymarket

$130,890 Vol.

87% chance
Polymarket

$130,890 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran secured qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup on May 7 with a 2-2 draw against Uzbekistan in AFC third-round play, joining early qualifiers like Japan and marking their eighth straight appearance. FIFA confirmed last month that Iran will play all group-stage matches on U.S. soil despite bilateral tensions, including U.S. visa denials for officials with IRGC ties and prior ministerial statements against participation amid airstrikes. Iran's football federation affirmed last week it will "definitely" compete but demanded guarantees from FIFA and co-hosts on security and visas. Traders price Yes at 87% implied probability, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds consensus on low exclusion risk absent major escalation, though diplomatic frictions or unilateral withdrawal remain tail risks ahead of the tournament.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$130,890
Date de fin
2 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran secured qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup on May 7 with a 2-2 draw against Uzbekistan in AFC third-round play, joining early qualifiers like Japan and marking their eighth straight appearance. FIFA confirmed last month that Iran will play all group-stage matches on U.S. soil despite bilateral tensions, including U.S. visa denials for officials with IRGC ties and prior ministerial statements against participation amid airstrikes. Iran's football federation affirmed last week it will "definitely" compete but demanded guarantees from FIFA and co-hosts on security and visas. Traders price Yes at 87% implied probability, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds consensus on low exclusion risk absent major escalation, though diplomatic frictions or unilateral withdrawal remain tail risks ahead of the tournament.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$130,890
Date de fin
2 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 87% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 87¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? » a généré $130.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? » est de 87% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 87% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.