**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms, with ten states adopting new House maps since late 2025.** Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah have enacted changes through legislative action, ballot measures, or litigation. Drivers include Republican-led efforts in Southern states following Supreme Court shifts on Voting Rights Act standards, Democratic countermeasures in California, and state-specific requirements or court orders. These revisions alter district lines for the November election in states representing a substantial share of House seats. Remaining uncertainties center on any pending legal challenges, implementation timelines, or additional states that could finalize maps before candidate filing deadlines close. Traders track primary outcomes and court rulings as key indicators of which maps will ultimately govern voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$394,725 Vol.
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
9%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
2%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
4%
$394,725 Vol.
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
9%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
2%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
4%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms, with ten states adopting new House maps since late 2025.** Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah have enacted changes through legislative action, ballot measures, or litigation. Drivers include Republican-led efforts in Southern states following Supreme Court shifts on Voting Rights Act standards, Democratic countermeasures in California, and state-specific requirements or court orders. These revisions alter district lines for the November election in states representing a substantial share of House seats. Remaining uncertainties center on any pending legal challenges, implementation timelines, or additional states that could finalize maps before candidate filing deadlines close. Traders track primary outcomes and court rulings as key indicators of which maps will ultimately govern voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes