The UFC heavyweight division's title picture remains highly fluid heading into late 2026, with implied probabilities clustered tightly among Jailton Almeida, Serghei Spivac, Sergei Pavlovich, and Ante Delija because each holds recent knockout wins and stylistic advantages that could secure a title shot. Heavyweight bouts frequently turn on single-punch power or durability edges, keeping multiple fighters in contention as injuries, weight cuts, and scheduling create openings. Tom Aspinall and Ciryl Gane sit slightly behind due to established records yet face similar long-term variables around recovery and matchup outcomes, reflecting trader recognition that the division's volatility can elevate any ranked contender by year's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJailton Almeida 44.8%
Ante Delija 43.2%
Derrick Lewis 37.9%
Ciryl Gane 27%
$97,750 Vol.
$97,750 Vol.
Jailton Almeida
45%
Ante Delija
43%
Derrick Lewis
38%
Ciryl Gane
27%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
38%
Sergei Pavlovich
37%
Serghei Spivac
47%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
37%
Jailton Almeida 44.8%
Ante Delija 43.2%
Derrick Lewis 37.9%
Ciryl Gane 27%
$97,750 Vol.
$97,750 Vol.
Jailton Almeida
45%
Ante Delija
43%
Derrick Lewis
38%
Ciryl Gane
27%
Alexander Volkov
10%
Marcin Tybura
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Tom Aspinall
38%
Sergei Pavlovich
37%
Serghei Spivac
47%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
37%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The UFC heavyweight division's title picture remains highly fluid heading into late 2026, with implied probabilities clustered tightly among Jailton Almeida, Serghei Spivac, Sergei Pavlovich, and Ante Delija because each holds recent knockout wins and stylistic advantages that could secure a title shot. Heavyweight bouts frequently turn on single-punch power or durability edges, keeping multiple fighters in contention as injuries, weight cuts, and scheduling create openings. Tom Aspinall and Ciryl Gane sit slightly behind due to established records yet face similar long-term variables around recovery and matchup outcomes, reflecting trader recognition that the division's volatility can elevate any ranked contender by year's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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