Ilia Topuria holds the lightweight title after a dominant 2025 move up from featherweight, including a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira, giving him strong trader support to remain champion through year-end despite an early-2026 personal hiatus. His impending unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250 anchors the 68% consensus, reflecting Topuria’s undefeated record and finishing ability in a division with limited recent title changes. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 10.5% on the strength of his top ranking and consistent wins, while Gaethje’s interim status and recent decision victory over Paddy Pimblett support his 8.2% share. Oliveira, Benoît Saint Denis, and other ranked contenders trail due to stylistic matchups and fewer immediate title opportunities before the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIlia Topuria 69%
Arman Tsarukyan 19.3%
Justin Gaethje 8.2%
Charles Oliveira 7.4%
$605,061 Vol.
$605,061 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
69%
Arman Tsarukyan
11%
Charles Oliveira
7%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
8%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
3%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Combattant A
<1%
Ilia Topuria 69%
Arman Tsarukyan 19.3%
Justin Gaethje 8.2%
Charles Oliveira 7.4%
$605,061 Vol.
$605,061 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
69%
Arman Tsarukyan
11%
Charles Oliveira
7%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
8%
Paddy Pimblett
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
3%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Combattant A
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilia Topuria holds the lightweight title after a dominant 2025 move up from featherweight, including a first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira, giving him strong trader support to remain champion through year-end despite an early-2026 personal hiatus. His impending unification bout against interim champion Justin Gaethje at UFC Freedom 250 anchors the 68% consensus, reflecting Topuria’s undefeated record and finishing ability in a division with limited recent title changes. Arman Tsarukyan sits at 10.5% on the strength of his top ranking and consistent wins, while Gaethje’s interim status and recent decision victory over Paddy Pimblett support his 8.2% share. Oliveira, Benoît Saint Denis, and other ranked contenders trail due to stylistic matchups and fewer immediate title opportunities before the end of 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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