Islam Makhachev holds the welterweight title after capturing it in late 2025 via dominant victory over Jack Della Maddalena, establishing him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for the end of 2026. His move up from lightweight, combined with elite grappling and finishing ability against top competition, underpins the 74.5% implied probability. Gabriel Bonfim and Ian Machado Garry sit next at 34.9% and 17.5% respectively, buoyed by recent statement wins that elevated their rankings and title-shot cases. Shavkat Rakhmonov remains a long shot at 0.3% due to extended knee injury absence, while veterans like Kamaru Usman and Belal Muhammad factor minimally amid the division's depth and younger contenders' momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIslam Makhachev 80%
Combattant A 69.9%
Ian Machado Garry 17.5%
Carlos Prates 1.3%
$608,647 Vol.
$608,647 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
75%
Combattant A
70%
Ian Machado Garry
18%
Carlos Prates
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Michael Morales
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Islam Makhachev 80%
Combattant A 69.9%
Ian Machado Garry 17.5%
Carlos Prates 1.3%
$608,647 Vol.
$608,647 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
75%
Combattant A
70%
Ian Machado Garry
18%
Carlos Prates
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Michael Morales
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds the welterweight title after capturing it in late 2025 via dominant victory over Jack Della Maddalena, establishing him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for the end of 2026. His move up from lightweight, combined with elite grappling and finishing ability against top competition, underpins the 74.5% implied probability. Gabriel Bonfim and Ian Machado Garry sit next at 34.9% and 17.5% respectively, buoyed by recent statement wins that elevated their rankings and title-shot cases. Shavkat Rakhmonov remains a long shot at 0.3% due to extended knee injury absence, while veterans like Kamaru Usman and Belal Muhammad factor minimally amid the division's depth and younger contenders' momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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