Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPetr Yan 73%
Alexandre Pantoja 25.1%
Umar Nurmagomedov 10.7%
Sean O'Malley 7.2%
$1,159,277 Vol.
$1,159,277 Vol.
Petr Yan
73%
Alexandre Pantoja
25%
Umar Nurmagomedov
11%
Sean O'Malley
15%
Cory Sandhagen
6%
Song Yadong
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
3%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan 73%
Alexandre Pantoja 25.1%
Umar Nurmagomedov 10.7%
Sean O'Malley 7.2%
$1,159,277 Vol.
$1,159,277 Vol.
Petr Yan
73%
Alexandre Pantoja
25%
Umar Nurmagomedov
11%
Sean O'Malley
15%
Cory Sandhagen
6%
Song Yadong
4%
Deiveson Figueiredo
3%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan leads the market at 71.5% implied probability due to repeated public statements from both fighters favoring an immediate UFC trilogy following Yan’s unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Recent interviews through May 2026 show Dvalishvili prioritizing the rematch once Yan is ready, while the Georgian has taken a non-UFC bout to maintain sharpness. Umar Nurmagomedov sits at 23.4% as the top division contender after their prior meeting, with Cory Sandhagen and Alexandre Pantoja lower at 20.5% and 14.1% respectively on the strength of recent form and stylistic intrigue. Trader consensus reflects the trilogy’s established narrative and timeline uncertainty rather than confirmed booking.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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