Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury—announced in late April after missing Madrid and Barcelona—has extinguished the sole realistic path to a calendar Grand Slam, following his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic in February that completed his career set. No other player captured the AO men's title, rendering all four majors (hard-court AO, clay Roland Garros, grass Wimbledon, hard-court US Open) unattainable for anyone else. Traders' overwhelming 99.5% consensus on "None" reflects the feat's Open Era rarity—last achieved by Rod Laver in 1969—amid surface transitions, injury risks, and grueling schedule. Alcaraz's slim 0.5% implies faint hopes of reinstatement, though official Roland Garros entry closure makes upsets improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$334,175 Vol.
$334,175 Vol.
Aucun
99%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
$334,175 Vol.
$334,175 Vol.
Aucun
99%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz's withdrawal from the 2026 French Open due to a right wrist injury—announced in late April after missing Madrid and Barcelona—has extinguished the sole realistic path to a calendar Grand Slam, following his Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic in February that completed his career set. No other player captured the AO men's title, rendering all four majors (hard-court AO, clay Roland Garros, grass Wimbledon, hard-court US Open) unattainable for anyone else. Traders' overwhelming 99.5% consensus on "None" reflects the feat's Open Era rarity—last achieved by Rod Laver in 1969—amid surface transitions, injury risks, and grueling schedule. Alcaraz's slim 0.5% implies faint hopes of reinstatement, though official Roland Garros entry closure makes upsets improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes