Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain "No" for Argentina adopting the US dollar as its official currency by June 30, 2026, reflecting President Javier Milei's repeated de-emphasis on full dollarization amid a shift toward peso stabilization. In April 2026, Milei stated "people don't want it," prioritizing endogenous approaches and reserve accumulation via agricultural exports and an IMF staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion. The Central Bank introduced exchange rate bands on January 2, 2026, tweaking rules in April to manage outflows, with no legislative or executive steps toward dollarization despite ongoing inflation above 30% annually. Structural barriers like insufficient dollar reserves—estimated at tens of billions needed—and congressional opposition persist. Only a sudden economic collapse or policy reversal before the deadline could shift odds, though current trajectories favor peso persistence.