**Trader consensus on the Argentina official USD exchange rate at end-2026 centers on gradual depreciation under the Milei administration’s managed float.** With the rate near 1,512 ARS per USD in mid-September 2026—up modestly from 1,450 at the start of the year—market-implied probabilities favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting expectations of continued crawling-peg adjustments tied to inflation. Recent government budget projections and analyst surveys (REM, FocusEconomics) point to roughly 1,630–1,645 by December, supported by fiscal surpluses, declining inflation toward 25–30% y/y, and export strength in energy and mining. The BCRA’s policy framework, IMF engagement, and absence of acute reserve pressures reinforce the measured pace, though any acceleration in monthly inflation or shifts in monetary settings could influence the final level.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$21,958 Vol.
$21,958 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
<1600,00
49%
1600,00–1699,99
34%
1700,00–1799,99
9%
1800,00–1899,99
6%
1900,00–1999,99
14%
2000,00+
4%
$21,958 Vol.
$21,958 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
<1600,00
$2,475 Vol.
49%
1600,00–1699,99
$2,030 Vol.
34%
1700,00–1799,99
$2,203 Vol.
9%
1800,00–1899,99
$1,702 Vol.
6%
1900,00–1999,99
$11,772 Vol.
14%
2000,00+
$1,777 Vol.
4%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on the Argentina official USD exchange rate at end-2026 centers on gradual depreciation under the Milei administration’s managed float.** With the rate near 1,512 ARS per USD in mid-September 2026—up modestly from 1,450 at the start of the year—market-implied probabilities favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting expectations of continued crawling-peg adjustments tied to inflation. Recent government budget projections and analyst surveys (REM, FocusEconomics) point to roughly 1,630–1,645 by December, supported by fiscal surpluses, declining inflation toward 25–30% y/y, and export strength in energy and mining. The BCRA’s policy framework, IMF engagement, and absence of acute reserve pressures reinforce the measured pace, though any acceleration in monthly inflation or shifts in monetary settings could influence the final level.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$21,958Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**Trader consensus on the Argentina official USD exchange rate at end-2026 centers on gradual depreciation under the Milei administration’s managed float.** With the rate near 1,512 ARS per USD in mid-September 2026—up modestly from 1,450 at the start of the year—market-implied probabilities favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting expectations of continued crawling-peg adjustments tied to inflation. Recent government budget projections and analyst surveys (REM, FocusEconomics) point to roughly 1,630–1,645 by December, supported by fiscal surpluses, declining inflation toward 25–30% y/y, and export strength in energy and mining. The BCRA’s policy framework, IMF engagement, and absence of acute reserve pressures reinforce the measured pace, though any acceleration in monthly inflation or shifts in monetary settings could influence the final level.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$21,958Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus on the Argentina official USD exchange rate at end-2026 centers on gradual depreciation under the Milei administration’s managed float.** With the rate near 1,512 ARS per USD in mid-September 2026—up modestly from 1,450 at the start of the year—market-implied probabilities favor outcomes below 1,700, reflecting expectations of continued crawling-peg adjustments tied to inflation. Recent government budget projections and analyst surveys (REM, FocusEconomics) point to roughly 1,630–1,645 by December, supported by fiscal surpluses, declining inflation toward 25–30% y/y, and export strength in energy and mining. The BCRA’s policy framework, IMF engagement, and absence of acute reserve pressures reinforce the measured pace, though any acceleration in monthly inflation or shifts in monetary settings could influence the final level.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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