Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in 2026, with markets pricing one to two ECB rate hikes this year amid elevated inflation expectations while anticipating further Fed easing. The euro currently trades near 1.16–1.17, pressured by a five-day selloff that has tested May lows, as surging energy prices from Middle East tensions lift euro-area headline inflation forecasts to 2.6% for 2026. Stronger eurozone growth resilience and narrowing interest-rate differentials have supported the pair above its early-year lows, yet persistent oil-price volatility and upcoming ECB decisions in June could accelerate or stall momentum. Traders are watching labor data, crude benchmarks above $100, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance for clarity on whether the euro can sustain levels near 1.18–1.20 or retest support below 1.15 before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$74,036 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ 1,40
7%
↑ 1,35
11%
↑ 1,30
30%
↑ 1,26
24%
↑ 1,24
55%
↑ 1,22
55%
↑ 1,20
64%
↓ 1,14
78%
↓ 1,12
40%
↓ 1,10
19%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
5%
$74,036 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$1,491 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,35
$973 Vol.
11%
↑ 1,30
$609 Vol.
30%
↑ 1,26
$2,748 Vol.
24%
↑ 1,24
$1,815 Vol.
55%
↑ 1,22
$320 Vol.
55%
↑ 1,20
$40,261 Vol.
64%
↓ 1,14
$5,583 Vol.
78%
↓ 1,12
$1,814 Vol.
40%
↓ 1,10
$2,636 Vol.
19%
↓ 1,05
$2,745 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,00
$3,181 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in 2026, with markets pricing one to two ECB rate hikes this year amid elevated inflation expectations while anticipating further Fed easing. The euro currently trades near 1.16–1.17, pressured by a five-day selloff that has tested May lows, as surging energy prices from Middle East tensions lift euro-area headline inflation forecasts to 2.6% for 2026. Stronger eurozone growth resilience and narrowing interest-rate differentials have supported the pair above its early-year lows, yet persistent oil-price volatility and upcoming ECB decisions in June could accelerate or stall momentum. Traders are watching labor data, crude benchmarks above $100, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance for clarity on whether the euro can sustain levels near 1.18–1.20 or retest support below 1.15 before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$74,036Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in 2026, with markets pricing one to two ECB rate hikes this year amid elevated inflation expectations while anticipating further Fed easing. The euro currently trades near 1.16–1.17, pressured by a five-day selloff that has tested May lows, as surging energy prices from Middle East tensions lift euro-area headline inflation forecasts to 2.6% for 2026. Stronger eurozone growth resilience and narrowing interest-rate differentials have supported the pair above its early-year lows, yet persistent oil-price volatility and upcoming ECB decisions in June could accelerate or stall momentum. Traders are watching labor data, crude benchmarks above $100, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance for clarity on whether the euro can sustain levels near 1.18–1.20 or retest support below 1.15 before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$74,036Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in 2026, with markets pricing one to two ECB rate hikes this year amid elevated inflation expectations while anticipating further Fed easing. The euro currently trades near 1.16–1.17, pressured by a five-day selloff that has tested May lows, as surging energy prices from Middle East tensions lift euro-area headline inflation forecasts to 2.6% for 2026. Stronger eurozone growth resilience and narrowing interest-rate differentials have supported the pair above its early-year lows, yet persistent oil-price volatility and upcoming ECB decisions in June could accelerate or stall momentum. Traders are watching labor data, crude benchmarks above $100, and any shifts in Fed dot-plot guidance for clarity on whether the euro can sustain levels near 1.18–1.20 or retest support below 1.15 before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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