Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the pair trading near 1.156 amid expectations for an ECB rate hike at its September 10 meeting and a higher probability of Fed policy hold following cooler July CPI prints. The Fed funds rate sits above the ECB deposit facility rate of 2.25 percent, though narrowing differentials and softer U.S. employment data have tempered dollar strength, supporting euro resilience. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor reports, and central bank communications for shifts in implied rate paths, while geopolitical risks and Treasury yield movements add volatility. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these macro forces through year-end 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$88,865 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ 1,40
6%
↑ 1,35
7%
↑ 1,30
7%
↑ 1,26
8%
↑ 1,24
9%
↑ 1,22
19%
↑ 1,20
25%
↓ 1,12
47%
↓ 1,10
42%
↓ 1,05
9%
↓ 1,00
8%
$88,865 Vol.
↑ 1,40
$2,114 Vol.
6%
↑ 1,35
$1,536 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,30
$901 Vol.
7%
↑ 1,26
$3,132 Vol.
8%
↑ 1,24
$2,438 Vol.
9%
↑ 1,22
$399 Vol.
19%
↑ 1,20
$40,984 Vol.
25%
↓ 1,12
$2,826 Vol.
47%
↓ 1,10
$3,945 Vol.
42%
↓ 1,05
$6,111 Vol.
9%
↓ 1,00
$4,490 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the pair trading near 1.156 amid expectations for an ECB rate hike at its September 10 meeting and a higher probability of Fed policy hold following cooler July CPI prints. The Fed funds rate sits above the ECB deposit facility rate of 2.25 percent, though narrowing differentials and softer U.S. employment data have tempered dollar strength, supporting euro resilience. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor reports, and central bank communications for shifts in implied rate paths, while geopolitical risks and Treasury yield movements add volatility. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these macro forces through year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$88,865Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the pair trading near 1.156 amid expectations for an ECB rate hike at its September 10 meeting and a higher probability of Fed policy hold following cooler July CPI prints. The Fed funds rate sits above the ECB deposit facility rate of 2.25 percent, though narrowing differentials and softer U.S. employment data have tempered dollar strength, supporting euro resilience. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor reports, and central bank communications for shifts in implied rate paths, while geopolitical risks and Treasury yield movements add volatility. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these macro forces through year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$88,865Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning, with the pair trading near 1.156 amid expectations for an ECB rate hike at its September 10 meeting and a higher probability of Fed policy hold following cooler July CPI prints. The Fed funds rate sits above the ECB deposit facility rate of 2.25 percent, though narrowing differentials and softer U.S. employment data have tempered dollar strength, supporting euro resilience. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases, labor reports, and central bank communications for shifts in implied rate paths, while geopolitical risks and Treasury yield movements add volatility. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on these macro forces through year-end 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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