Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,436–1,441 as of mid-June 2026, trades within a managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation. Persistent though declining price pressures—May 2026 CPI at 33.6% year-over-year—along with BCRA market survey medians projecting roughly 1,658 by December, underpin trader pricing that assigns a 44% probability to a close above 1,600. Fiscal surpluses and reserve-building purchases provide some support, yet the band’s inflation-linked adjustment and lingering external financing needs keep the path of gradual peso weakening as the dominant market-implied outcome through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour1600.00+ 62%
1400.00–1449.99 6.8%
1350.00–1399.99 5.9%
1450.00–1499.99 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
3%
1300.00–1349.99
2%
1350.00–1399.99
6%
1400.00–1449.99
7%
1450.00–1499.99
4%
1500.00–1549.99
2%
1550.00–1599.99
2%
1600.00+
60%
1600.00+ 62%
1400.00–1449.99 6.8%
1350.00–1399.99 5.9%
1450.00–1499.99 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
<1250.00
$491 Vol.
2%
1250.00–1299.99
$713 Vol.
3%
1300.00–1349.99
$607 Vol.
2%
1350.00–1399.99
$662 Vol.
6%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,091 Vol.
7%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,164 Vol.
4%
1500.00–1549.99
$958 Vol.
2%
1550.00–1599.99
$566 Vol.
2%
1600.00+
$1,817 Vol.
60%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,436–1,441 as of mid-June 2026, trades within a managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation. Persistent though declining price pressures—May 2026 CPI at 33.6% year-over-year—along with BCRA market survey medians projecting roughly 1,658 by December, underpin trader pricing that assigns a 44% probability to a close above 1,600. Fiscal surpluses and reserve-building purchases provide some support, yet the band’s inflation-linked adjustment and lingering external financing needs keep the path of gradual peso weakening as the dominant market-implied outcome through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Volume
$8,070Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,436–1,441 as of mid-June 2026, trades within a managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation. Persistent though declining price pressures—May 2026 CPI at 33.6% year-over-year—along with BCRA market survey medians projecting roughly 1,658 by December, underpin trader pricing that assigns a 44% probability to a close above 1,600. Fiscal surpluses and reserve-building purchases provide some support, yet the band’s inflation-linked adjustment and lingering external financing needs keep the path of gradual peso weakening as the dominant market-implied outcome through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$8,070Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,436–1,441 as of mid-June 2026, trades within a managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation. Persistent though declining price pressures—May 2026 CPI at 33.6% year-over-year—along with BCRA market survey medians projecting roughly 1,658 by December, underpin trader pricing that assigns a 44% probability to a close above 1,600. Fiscal surpluses and reserve-building purchases provide some support, yet the band’s inflation-linked adjustment and lingering external financing needs keep the path of gradual peso weakening as the dominant market-implied outcome through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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