Recent central bank surveys show analysts revising 2026 year-end inflation expectations down to a 29.8% median, clustering forecasts near 29–31% and explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges. Ongoing disinflation—July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2%—reflects sustained fiscal balance and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band, yet price inertia from relative adjustments and reserve pressures creates uncertainty. Key swing factors include the pace of further monthly declines, external debt rollover success, and reform momentum, with traders pricing probabilities around these near-term data releases rather than distant endpoints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour30,0-34,9 % 51.3%
25-29,9 % 45%
45 %+ 1.9%
20-24,9 % 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<20 %
2%
20-24,9 %
2%
25-29,9 %
45%
30,0-34,9 %
51%
35–39,9 %
<1%
40-44,9 %
1%
45 %+
2%
30,0-34,9 % 51.3%
25-29,9 % 45%
45 %+ 1.9%
20-24,9 % 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
10 janv. 2027
<20 %
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24,9 %
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29,9 %
$12,331 Vol.
45%
30,0-34,9 %
$10,612 Vol.
51%
35–39,9 %
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44,9 %
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45 %+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank surveys show analysts revising 2026 year-end inflation expectations down to a 29.8% median, clustering forecasts near 29–31% and explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges. Ongoing disinflation—July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2%—reflects sustained fiscal balance and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band, yet price inertia from relative adjustments and reserve pressures creates uncertainty. Key swing factors include the pace of further monthly declines, external debt rollover success, and reform momentum, with traders pricing probabilities around these near-term data releases rather than distant endpoints.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,125Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank surveys show analysts revising 2026 year-end inflation expectations down to a 29.8% median, clustering forecasts near 29–31% and explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges. Ongoing disinflation—July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2%—reflects sustained fiscal balance and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band, yet price inertia from relative adjustments and reserve pressures creates uncertainty. Key swing factors include the pace of further monthly declines, external debt rollover success, and reform momentum, with traders pricing probabilities around these near-term data releases rather than distant endpoints.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$41,125Date de fin
10 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent central bank surveys show analysts revising 2026 year-end inflation expectations down to a 29.8% median, clustering forecasts near 29–31% and explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges. Ongoing disinflation—July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% with monthly prints near 2%—reflects sustained fiscal balance and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band, yet price inertia from relative adjustments and reserve pressures creates uncertainty. Key swing factors include the pace of further monthly declines, external debt rollover success, and reform momentum, with traders pricing probabilities around these near-term data releases rather than distant endpoints.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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