Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Korea's 2026 annual inflation tightly clustered around 2.1%-2.9%, with 2.4%-2.6% at 38.8% implied probability edging out neighbors amid April's consumer price index surging 2.6% year-over-year—the highest in 21 months—driven by Middle East tensions spiking petroleum costs 7.9%. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, tempering hawkish pressures, while the Bank of Korea maintained its 2.50% policy rate but signaled potential hikes. Competitive dynamics hinge on oil price volatility, global supply risks, and domestic demand; a May CPI print expected soon could tip odds, as traders weigh persistent upside against the central bank's 2% target trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour3,0 % + 43%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 38.4%
1,5 % à 1,7 % 8%
<1,5 % 5.9%
$11,067 Vol.
$11,067 Vol.
<1,5 %
6%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
8%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
30%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
37%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
38%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
37%
3,0 % +
28%
3,0 % + 43%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 38.4%
1,5 % à 1,7 % 8%
<1,5 % 5.9%
$11,067 Vol.
$11,067 Vol.
<1,5 %
6%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
8%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
30%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
37%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
38%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
37%
3,0 % +
28%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices South Korea's 2026 annual inflation tightly clustered around 2.1%-2.9%, with 2.4%-2.6% at 38.8% implied probability edging out neighbors amid April's consumer price index surging 2.6% year-over-year—the highest in 21 months—driven by Middle East tensions spiking petroleum costs 7.9%. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, tempering hawkish pressures, while the Bank of Korea maintained its 2.50% policy rate but signaled potential hikes. Competitive dynamics hinge on oil price volatility, global supply risks, and domestic demand; a May CPI print expected soon could tip odds, as traders weigh persistent upside against the central bank's 2% target trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes