South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market reflects trader focus on persistent energy-driven pressures offset by moderating momentum. Recent CPI prints showed a June peak of 3.2% year-over-year before easing to 2.8% in July, below expectations, as transport costs softened amid fluctuating oil prices tied to earlier geopolitical tensions. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance cluster around 2.6–2.7%, with the central bank citing a weaker won, robust semiconductor exports, and above-target readings in its July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%. The closely contested 2.7–2.9% (32.8%) and 3.0%+ (28.6%) outcomes highlight uncertainty over whether core pressures and domestic demand recovery will sustain elevated levels through year-end or allow further moderation toward the 2% target.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,7 % à 2,9 % 32.8%
3,0 % + 28.6%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 24.4%
2,1 % à 2,3 % 11.8%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
<1,5 %
2%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
2%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
1%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
12%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
24%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
33%
3,0 % +
29%
2,7 % à 2,9 % 32.8%
3,0 % + 28.6%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 24.4%
2,1 % à 2,3 % 11.8%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
<1,5 %
2%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
2%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
1%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
12%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
24%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
33%
3,0 % +
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market reflects trader focus on persistent energy-driven pressures offset by moderating momentum. Recent CPI prints showed a June peak of 3.2% year-over-year before easing to 2.8% in July, below expectations, as transport costs softened amid fluctuating oil prices tied to earlier geopolitical tensions. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea and Ministry of Economy and Finance cluster around 2.6–2.7%, with the central bank citing a weaker won, robust semiconductor exports, and above-target readings in its July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75%. The closely contested 2.7–2.9% (32.8%) and 3.0%+ (28.6%) outcomes highlight uncertainty over whether core pressures and domestic demand recovery will sustain elevated levels through year-end or allow further moderation toward the 2% target.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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