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icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Économie·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Économie·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

<1.228m 40%

1.228 - 1.238m 22%

1.238 - 1.249m 20%

1.249 - 1.259m 19%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<1.228m 40%

1.228 - 1.238m 22%

1.238 - 1.249m 20%

1.249 - 1.259m 19%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<1.228m

$167 Vol.

27%

1.228 - 1.238m

$62 Vol.

22%

1.238 - 1.249m

$436 Vol.

22%

1.249 - 1.259m

$1,325 Vol.

19%

1.259 - 1.27m

$0 Vol.

15%

1.27 - 1.28m

$0 Vol.

7%

1.28 - 1.301m

$0 Vol.

7%

>1.301m

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,990
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing market data shows modest year-over-year appreciation in the San Francisco metro area, with Zillow reporting typical home values near $1.37 million in the city proper as of late April 2026 and broader Bay Area medians holding around $1.2 million amid stronger luxury segment gains. Trader consensus has coalesced around the 1.228–1.259 million range because single-family and condo sales prices have risen 18–27 percent in March–April reports, yet overall metro medians remain tempered by inventory dynamics and affordability constraints. With resolution only two weeks away on May 31, the closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty over final seasonal adjustments and any last-minute economic releases that could shift the measured median by tens of thousands of dollars.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volume
$1,990
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

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Questions fréquentes

« What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <1.228m » à 27%, suivi de « 1.228 - 1.238m » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31? » est « <1.228m » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1.228 - 1.238m » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.