Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with USDA forecasting a further 2% decline to 25.79 billion pounds for the year. This supply squeeze, driven by drought-induced herd reductions and elevated feed costs, has already lifted retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026. Strong consumer demand for ground beef products has prompted higher imports of lean trim, supporting elevated wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these fundamentals, with potential near-term catalysts including the May BLS CPI release and the July cattle inventory report that could influence price trajectory through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLe bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Le bœuf haché atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
$18,696 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
7,000 $+
77%
8,000 $+
53%
9,000 $+
39%
10 000 $+
16%
$18,696 Vol.
7,000 $+
$50 Vol.
77%
8,000 $+
$1,514 Vol.
53%
9,000 $+
$22 Vol.
39%
10 000 $+
$17,111 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with USDA forecasting a further 2% decline to 25.79 billion pounds for the year. This supply squeeze, driven by drought-induced herd reductions and elevated feed costs, has already lifted retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026. Strong consumer demand for ground beef products has prompted higher imports of lean trim, supporting elevated wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these fundamentals, with potential near-term catalysts including the May BLS CPI release and the July cattle inventory report that could influence price trajectory through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$18,696Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with USDA forecasting a further 2% decline to 25.79 billion pounds for the year. This supply squeeze, driven by drought-induced herd reductions and elevated feed costs, has already lifted retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026. Strong consumer demand for ground beef products has prompted higher imports of lean trim, supporting elevated wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these fundamentals, with potential near-term catalysts including the May BLS CPI release and the July cattle inventory report that could influence price trajectory through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,696Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, continue to constrain beef production, with USDA forecasting a further 2% decline to 25.79 billion pounds for the year. This supply squeeze, driven by drought-induced herd reductions and elevated feed costs, has already lifted retail ground beef to $6.70 per pound in March 2026. Strong consumer demand for ground beef products has prompted higher imports of lean trim, supporting elevated wholesale cutout values near $350 per hundredweight. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these fundamentals, with potential near-term catalysts including the May BLS CPI release and the July cattle inventory report that could influence price trajectory through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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