Recent Japan core CPI readings have hovered at 1.4-1.6% YoY through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that have offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ’s latest fiscal 2026 forecast centers on 1.9% core inflation, consistent with the market-implied 50.2% probability of an annual outcome at or below that level and the combined 84.7% odds for readings no higher than 2.4%. Underlying “core-core” measures excluding food and energy have also softened recently, while the central bank’s June rate hike and ongoing vigilance on cost pass-through reflect contained demand-driven pressures rather than accelerating momentum. Traders appear to price in these subdued trends and base effects persisting through the year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour≤1,9 % 50.2%
2.0-2.4% 35%
3.0-3.4% 8.0%
2,5-2,9 % 1.3%
$35,793 Vol.
$35,793 Vol.
22 janv. 2027
≤1,9 %
50%
2.0-2.4%
35%
2,5-2,9 %
1%
3.0-3.4%
8%
3,5-3,9 %
<1%
4.0%+
1%
≤1,9 % 50.2%
2.0-2.4% 35%
3.0-3.4% 8.0%
2,5-2,9 % 1.3%
$35,793 Vol.
$35,793 Vol.
22 janv. 2027
≤1,9 %
$16,943 Vol.
50%
2.0-2.4%
$10,505 Vol.
35%
2,5-2,9 %
$5,149 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,056 Vol.
8%
3,5-3,9 %
$800 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings have hovered at 1.4-1.6% YoY through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that have offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ’s latest fiscal 2026 forecast centers on 1.9% core inflation, consistent with the market-implied 50.2% probability of an annual outcome at or below that level and the combined 84.7% odds for readings no higher than 2.4%. Underlying “core-core” measures excluding food and energy have also softened recently, while the central bank’s June rate hike and ongoing vigilance on cost pass-through reflect contained demand-driven pressures rather than accelerating momentum. Traders appear to price in these subdued trends and base effects persisting through the year.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$35,793Date de fin
22 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings have hovered at 1.4-1.6% YoY through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that have offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ’s latest fiscal 2026 forecast centers on 1.9% core inflation, consistent with the market-implied 50.2% probability of an annual outcome at or below that level and the combined 84.7% odds for readings no higher than 2.4%. Underlying “core-core” measures excluding food and energy have also softened recently, while the central bank’s June rate hike and ongoing vigilance on cost pass-through reflect contained demand-driven pressures rather than accelerating momentum. Traders appear to price in these subdued trends and base effects persisting through the year.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$35,793Date de fin
22 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan core CPI readings have hovered at 1.4-1.6% YoY through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid government fuel subsidies that have offset energy cost pressures from a weak yen and Middle East tensions. The BoJ’s latest fiscal 2026 forecast centers on 1.9% core inflation, consistent with the market-implied 50.2% probability of an annual outcome at or below that level and the combined 84.7% odds for readings no higher than 2.4%. Underlying “core-core” measures excluding food and energy have also softened recently, while the central bank’s June rate hike and ongoing vigilance on cost pass-through reflect contained demand-driven pressures rather than accelerating momentum. Traders appear to price in these subdued trends and base effects persisting through the year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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