Recent Bank of Japan projections place underlying core-core CPI inflation near 2.3-2.7% for fiscal 2026, reflecting the primary driver of subdued energy costs after oil price declines and yen stabilization. June 2026 data showed core-core CPI at 1.7% year-over-year, the lowest since 2022, amid base effects and government subsidies. Wage growth above 5% and corporate cost pass-through provide support near the 2% target, yet traders assign 53.5% odds to the 2.0-2.4% range and 39.5% to ≤1.9%, consistent with consensus forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BOJ Outlook report and July-August CPI releases, which could clarify whether persistent import pressures from a weaker yen shift the distribution higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 40%
4,0 %+ 8.5%
2.5-2.9% 2.3%
$36,027 Vol.
$36,027 Vol.
12 févr. 2027
≤1.9%
40%
2.0-2.4%
54%
2.5-2.9%
2%
3,0-3,4 %
2%
3.5-3.9%
1%
4,0 %+
8%
2.0-2.4% 54%
≤1.9% 40%
4,0 %+ 8.5%
2.5-2.9% 2.3%
$36,027 Vol.
$36,027 Vol.
12 févr. 2027
≤1.9%
$10,996 Vol.
40%
2.0-2.4%
$14,788 Vol.
54%
2.5-2.9%
$8,233 Vol.
2%
3,0-3,4 %
$586 Vol.
2%
3.5-3.9%
$642 Vol.
1%
4,0 %+
$782 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Bank of Japan projections place underlying core-core CPI inflation near 2.3-2.7% for fiscal 2026, reflecting the primary driver of subdued energy costs after oil price declines and yen stabilization. June 2026 data showed core-core CPI at 1.7% year-over-year, the lowest since 2022, amid base effects and government subsidies. Wage growth above 5% and corporate cost pass-through provide support near the 2% target, yet traders assign 53.5% odds to the 2.0-2.4% range and 39.5% to ≤1.9%, consistent with consensus forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BOJ Outlook report and July-August CPI releases, which could clarify whether persistent import pressures from a weaker yen shift the distribution higher.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$36,027Date de fin
12 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Bank of Japan projections place underlying core-core CPI inflation near 2.3-2.7% for fiscal 2026, reflecting the primary driver of subdued energy costs after oil price declines and yen stabilization. June 2026 data showed core-core CPI at 1.7% year-over-year, the lowest since 2022, amid base effects and government subsidies. Wage growth above 5% and corporate cost pass-through provide support near the 2% target, yet traders assign 53.5% odds to the 2.0-2.4% range and 39.5% to ≤1.9%, consistent with consensus forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BOJ Outlook report and July-August CPI releases, which could clarify whether persistent import pressures from a weaker yen shift the distribution higher.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$36,027Date de fin
12 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Japan projections place underlying core-core CPI inflation near 2.3-2.7% for fiscal 2026, reflecting the primary driver of subdued energy costs after oil price declines and yen stabilization. June 2026 data showed core-core CPI at 1.7% year-over-year, the lowest since 2022, amid base effects and government subsidies. Wage growth above 5% and corporate cost pass-through provide support near the 2% target, yet traders assign 53.5% odds to the 2.0-2.4% range and 39.5% to ≤1.9%, consistent with consensus forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the next BOJ Outlook report and July-August CPI releases, which could clarify whether persistent import pressures from a weaker yen shift the distribution higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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