Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core CPI (ex-fresh food) easing to 1.7% YoY and core-core CPI (ex-fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9%, both remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and softer food price momentum. These prints, combined with the BoJ’s July 2026 Outlook projecting fiscal-year core-core inflation near 2.5% after prior downward revisions, anchor trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. Weak yen pass-through and Middle East-linked oil pressures introduce upside risks, yet ongoing utility support and subdued wage-price spirals limit acceleration. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI releases and further BoJ communications on policy normalization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2.0-2.4% 79%
≤1.9% 22%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4,0 %+ <1%
$61,931 Vol.
$61,931 Vol.
12 févr. 2027
≤1.9%
22%
2.0-2.4%
79%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3,0-3,4 %
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0 %+
1%
2.0-2.4% 79%
≤1.9% 22%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4,0 %+ <1%
$61,931 Vol.
$61,931 Vol.
12 févr. 2027
≤1.9%
$17,627 Vol.
22%
2.0-2.4%
$26,678 Vol.
79%
2.5-2.9%
$11,486 Vol.
1%
3,0-3,4 %
$2,584 Vol.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 Vol.
<1%
4,0 %+
$2,072 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core CPI (ex-fresh food) easing to 1.7% YoY and core-core CPI (ex-fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9%, both remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and softer food price momentum. These prints, combined with the BoJ’s July 2026 Outlook projecting fiscal-year core-core inflation near 2.5% after prior downward revisions, anchor trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. Weak yen pass-through and Middle East-linked oil pressures introduce upside risks, yet ongoing utility support and subdued wage-price spirals limit acceleration. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI releases and further BoJ communications on policy normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Marché ouvert : Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$61,931Date de fin
12 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core CPI (ex-fresh food) easing to 1.7% YoY and core-core CPI (ex-fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9%, both remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and softer food price momentum. These prints, combined with the BoJ’s July 2026 Outlook projecting fiscal-year core-core inflation near 2.5% after prior downward revisions, anchor trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. Weak yen pass-through and Middle East-linked oil pressures introduce upside risks, yet ongoing utility support and subdued wage-price spirals limit acceleration. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI releases and further BoJ communications on policy normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volume
$61,931Date de fin
12 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core CPI (ex-fresh food) easing to 1.7% YoY and core-core CPI (ex-fresh food and energy) holding at 1.9%, both remaining below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target amid energy subsidies and softer food price momentum. These prints, combined with the BoJ’s July 2026 Outlook projecting fiscal-year core-core inflation near 2.5% after prior downward revisions, anchor trader consensus around the 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. Weak yen pass-through and Middle East-linked oil pressures introduce upside risks, yet ongoing utility support and subdued wage-price spirals limit acceleration. Key near-term catalysts include September CPI releases and further BoJ communications on policy normalization.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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