Recent cooling in Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026, down from 3.2% in May, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 2.5–2.9% range for annual inflation, now carrying a 60.9% market-implied probability. The decline was driven primarily by slower gasoline price increases and softer food and shelter components, with core measures (median and trimmed-mean) also falling to multi-year lows. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward to 2.5% while holding the overnight rate at 2.25%, citing temporary energy effects and expectations that inflation will settle near the 2% target amid subdued growth. Elevated oil-price volatility and upcoming July CPI data remain key near-term swing factors for these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle au Canada 2026
Inflation annuelle au Canada 2026
2,5–2,9 % 60.9%
3,0-3,4 % 16.4%
1,5–1,9 % 15.5%
3,5-3,9 % 13.1%
$37,897 Vol.
$37,897 Vol.
18 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
3%
1,0–1,4 %
5%
1,5–1,9 %
16%
2,0–2,4 %
46%
2,5–2,9 %
61%
3,0-3,4 %
16%
3,5-3,9 %
13%
4,0 % +
1%
2,5–2,9 % 60.9%
3,0-3,4 % 16.4%
1,5–1,9 % 15.5%
3,5-3,9 % 13.1%
$37,897 Vol.
$37,897 Vol.
18 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
$1,081 Vol.
3%
1,0–1,4 %
$5,268 Vol.
5%
1,5–1,9 %
$3,350 Vol.
16%
2,0–2,4 %
$932 Vol.
46%
2,5–2,9 %
$9,521 Vol.
61%
3,0-3,4 %
$13,753 Vol.
16%
3,5-3,9 %
$3,511 Vol.
13%
4,0 % +
$480 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent cooling in Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026, down from 3.2% in May, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 2.5–2.9% range for annual inflation, now carrying a 60.9% market-implied probability. The decline was driven primarily by slower gasoline price increases and softer food and shelter components, with core measures (median and trimmed-mean) also falling to multi-year lows. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward to 2.5% while holding the overnight rate at 2.25%, citing temporary energy effects and expectations that inflation will settle near the 2% target amid subdued growth. Elevated oil-price volatility and upcoming July CPI data remain key near-term swing factors for these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$37,897Date de fin
18 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent cooling in Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026, down from 3.2% in May, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 2.5–2.9% range for annual inflation, now carrying a 60.9% market-implied probability. The decline was driven primarily by slower gasoline price increases and softer food and shelter components, with core measures (median and trimmed-mean) also falling to multi-year lows. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward to 2.5% while holding the overnight rate at 2.25%, citing temporary energy effects and expectations that inflation will settle near the 2% target amid subdued growth. Elevated oil-price volatility and upcoming July CPI data remain key near-term swing factors for these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$37,897Date de fin
18 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent cooling in Canada's headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in June 2026, down from 3.2% in May, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 2.5–2.9% range for annual inflation, now carrying a 60.9% market-implied probability. The decline was driven primarily by slower gasoline price increases and softer food and shelter components, with core measures (median and trimmed-mean) also falling to multi-year lows. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report revised its 2026 inflation projection upward to 2.5% while holding the overnight rate at 2.25%, citing temporary energy effects and expectations that inflation will settle near the 2% target amid subdued growth. Elevated oil-price volatility and upcoming July CPI data remain key near-term swing factors for these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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