Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a sharp Q1-Q2 surge exceeding 131,000 job cuts across 306 events—already 33% above last year's pace at this stage. Major catalysts include AI-driven restructurings at Meta (planning 8,000-10% workforce reductions to fund $135 billion AI capex), Coinbase (15% cuts), Cloudflare, Upwork, and Oracle, as firms prioritize artificial intelligence infrastructure over headcount amid slowing growth in legacy operations. April alone saw 33,000 losses, the highest monthly total in years, with economists warning of ongoing automation pressures. Upcoming earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could signal further shifts, though economic recovery might temper the pace later in the year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEn hausse
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28 févr. 2027
En hausse
$25,123 Vol.
$25,123 Vol.
28 févr. 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a sharp Q1-Q2 surge exceeding 131,000 job cuts across 306 events—already 33% above last year's pace at this stage. Major catalysts include AI-driven restructurings at Meta (planning 8,000-10% workforce reductions to fund $135 billion AI capex), Coinbase (15% cuts), Cloudflare, Upwork, and Oracle, as firms prioritize artificial intelligence infrastructure over headcount amid slowing growth in legacy operations. April alone saw 33,000 losses, the highest monthly total in years, with economists warning of ongoing automation pressures. Upcoming earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could signal further shifts, though economic recovery might temper the pace later in the year.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$25,123Date de fin
28 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a sharp Q1-Q2 surge exceeding 131,000 job cuts across 306 events—already 33% above last year's pace at this stage. Major catalysts include AI-driven restructurings at Meta (planning 8,000-10% workforce reductions to fund $135 billion AI capex), Coinbase (15% cuts), Cloudflare, Upwork, and Oracle, as firms prioritize artificial intelligence infrastructure over headcount amid slowing growth in legacy operations. April alone saw 33,000 losses, the highest monthly total in years, with economists warning of ongoing automation pressures. Upcoming earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could signal further shifts, though economic recovery might temper the pace later in the year.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$25,123Date de fin
28 févr. 2027Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 81.5% implied probability for tech layoffs to rise in 2026 versus 2025, driven by a sharp Q1-Q2 surge exceeding 131,000 job cuts across 306 events—already 33% above last year's pace at this stage. Major catalysts include AI-driven restructurings at Meta (planning 8,000-10% workforce reductions to fund $135 billion AI capex), Coinbase (15% cuts), Cloudflare, Upwork, and Oracle, as firms prioritize artificial intelligence infrastructure over headcount amid slowing growth in legacy operations. April alone saw 33,000 losses, the highest monthly total in years, with economists warning of ongoing automation pressures. Upcoming earnings from Microsoft and Amazon could signal further shifts, though economic recovery might temper the pace later in the year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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