Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Goldman Sachs as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability to serve as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO, driven by recent Reuters reporting that the company has assembled a 21-bank syndicate code-named Project Apex, with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley (29.5%), Bank of America (13.9%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as active bookrunners following confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and banker meetings led by Elon Musk in early April. A three-day analyst briefing the week of April 21 further advanced preparations for a potential June listing at $1.75 trillion valuation, but no single lead has been confirmed, leaving room for shifts when the public prospectus drops imminently between May 15-22 ahead of the June 8 roadshow. Lower odds for others reflect their supporting roles amid the unprecedented scale.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGoldman Sachs 48%
Morgan Stanley 38%
Bank of America 13.4%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,724,693 Vol.
$1,724,693 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
48%

Morgan Stanley
38%

Bank of America
13%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Barclays
<1%
Goldman Sachs 48%
Morgan Stanley 38%
Bank of America 13.4%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,724,693 Vol.
$1,724,693 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
48%

Morgan Stanley
38%

Bank of America
13%

JPMorgan
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Barclays
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Goldman Sachs as the frontrunner at 51.5% implied probability to serve as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO, driven by recent Reuters reporting that the company has assembled a 21-bank syndicate code-named Project Apex, with Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley (29.5%), Bank of America (13.9%), JPMorgan, and Citigroup as active bookrunners following confidential S-1 filing on April 1 and banker meetings led by Elon Musk in early April. A three-day analyst briefing the week of April 21 further advanced preparations for a potential June listing at $1.75 trillion valuation, but no single lead has been confirmed, leaving room for shifts when the public prospectus drops imminently between May 15-22 ahead of the June 8 roadshow. Lower odds for others reflect their supporting roles amid the unprecedented scale.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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