Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private fundraising efforts. Just days ago on May 12, Bloomberg reported Anthropic in early talks for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation to fuel AI compute expansion for its Claude large language models, signaling a preference for private capital over public markets. Recent joint ventures, like a $1.5 billion AI deal with Wall Street firms, further underscore this strategy. Standard SEC review and roadshow timelines—typically 3–6 months—make a pre-July listing improbable without surprise acceleration, though an unexpected S-1 could shift odds rapidly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 98.6%
600 Md+ <1%
300–400 Md <1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
$1,283,579 Vol.
$1,283,579 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100B
<1%
100–200 milliards
<1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards
<1%
300–400 Md
<1%
400–600 Md$
<1%
600 Md+
1%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
99%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 98.6%
600 Md+ <1%
300–400 Md <1%
400–600 Md$ <1%
$1,283,579 Vol.
$1,283,579 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100B
$257,648 Vol.
<1%
100–200 milliards
$91,119 Vol.
<1%
Titre de l’élément du groupe : 200–300 milliards
$146,868 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Md
$98,246 Vol.
<1%
400–600 Md$
$158,517 Vol.
<1%
600 Md+
$284,782 Vol.
1%
Pas d'entrée en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$246,401 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private fundraising efforts. Just days ago on May 12, Bloomberg reported Anthropic in early talks for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation to fuel AI compute expansion for its Claude large language models, signaling a preference for private capital over public markets. Recent joint ventures, like a $1.5 billion AI deal with Wall Street firms, further underscore this strategy. Standard SEC review and roadshow timelines—typically 3–6 months—make a pre-July listing improbable without surprise acceleration, though an unexpected S-1 could shift odds rapidly.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,283,579Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private fundraising efforts. Just days ago on May 12, Bloomberg reported Anthropic in early talks for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation to fuel AI compute expansion for its Claude large language models, signaling a preference for private capital over public markets. Recent joint ventures, like a $1.5 billion AI deal with Wall Street firms, further underscore this strategy. Standard SEC review and roadshow timelines—typically 3–6 months—make a pre-July listing improbable without surprise acceleration, though an unexpected S-1 could shift odds rapidly.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,283,579Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 98.6% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private fundraising efforts. Just days ago on May 12, Bloomberg reported Anthropic in early talks for a $30 billion raise at a staggering $900 billion valuation to fuel AI compute expansion for its Claude large language models, signaling a preference for private capital over public markets. Recent joint ventures, like a $1.5 billion AI deal with Wall Street firms, further underscore this strategy. Standard SEC review and roadshow timelines—typically 3–6 months—make a pre-July listing improbable without surprise acceleration, though an unexpected S-1 could shift odds rapidly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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