Recent moderation in core inflation, with the May 2026 reading at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, underpins the evenly balanced Polymarket odds across July Core CPI MoM outcomes. Persistent services pressures, including shelter and transportation categories, alongside potential tariff-related goods pass-through, sustain trader caution despite the recent cooldown from April’s 0.4% pace. The Federal Reserve’s hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate range, citing elevated inflation risks relative to the 2% target, reinforces expectations for a 0.2–0.3% central tendency while allowing for volatility from labor-market data or supply shocks. The June CPI release on July 14 will provide the next key input ahead of the July print.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0.6%+ 49%
0.3% 46%
0.1% 44%
≤0.0% 44%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
≤0.0%
44%
0.1%
44%
0.2%
40%
0.3%
46%
0.4%
43%
0.5%
43%
0.6%+
49%
0.6%+ 49%
0.3% 46%
0.1% 44%
≤0.0% 44%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
≤0.0%
$32 Vol.
44%
0.1%
$0 Vol.
44%
0.2%
$0 Vol.
40%
0.3%
$0 Vol.
46%
0.4%
$50 Vol.
43%
0.5%
$50 Vol.
43%
0.6%+
$20 Vol.
49%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in core inflation, with the May 2026 reading at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, underpins the evenly balanced Polymarket odds across July Core CPI MoM outcomes. Persistent services pressures, including shelter and transportation categories, alongside potential tariff-related goods pass-through, sustain trader caution despite the recent cooldown from April’s 0.4% pace. The Federal Reserve’s hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate range, citing elevated inflation risks relative to the 2% target, reinforces expectations for a 0.2–0.3% central tendency while allowing for volatility from labor-market data or supply shocks. The June CPI release on July 14 will provide the next key input ahead of the July print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$152Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in core inflation, with the May 2026 reading at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, underpins the evenly balanced Polymarket odds across July Core CPI MoM outcomes. Persistent services pressures, including shelter and transportation categories, alongside potential tariff-related goods pass-through, sustain trader caution despite the recent cooldown from April’s 0.4% pace. The Federal Reserve’s hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate range, citing elevated inflation risks relative to the 2% target, reinforces expectations for a 0.2–0.3% central tendency while allowing for volatility from labor-market data or supply shocks. The June CPI release on July 14 will provide the next key input ahead of the July print.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$152Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in core inflation, with the May 2026 reading at 0.2% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, underpins the evenly balanced Polymarket odds across July Core CPI MoM outcomes. Persistent services pressures, including shelter and transportation categories, alongside potential tariff-related goods pass-through, sustain trader caution despite the recent cooldown from April’s 0.4% pace. The Federal Reserve’s hold at the 3.50–3.75% funds rate range, citing elevated inflation risks relative to the 2% target, reinforces expectations for a 0.2–0.3% central tendency while allowing for volatility from labor-market data or supply shocks. The June CPI release on July 14 will provide the next key input ahead of the July print.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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