Skip to main content
icon for Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ?

Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ?

icon for Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ?

Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ?

Oui

49% chance
Polymarket

$19,791 Vol.

Oui

49% chance
Polymarket

$19,791 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The closely contested 51% implied probability for "No" on Democrats sweeping the core four Senate races—Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia—reflects balanced uncertainty across these battlegrounds heading into the November 2026 midterms. Democrats hold two of the seats while challenging two Republican-held ones in a map shaped by post-2024 partisan dynamics, with recent Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball updates moving North Carolina to Lean Democratic and Alaska and Ohio toward toss-ups based on polling averages and candidate positioning. Fundraising advantages for Democrats in several states have narrowed gaps, yet Republican incumbency edges and national turnout patterns maintain parity. Key variables that could shift consensus include late-cycle polling shifts in Michigan (following Gary Peters' retirement) or Maine, primary outcomes, or broader economic indicators influencing swing-state voter sentiment before Election Day.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$19,791
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.The closely contested 51% implied probability for "No" on Democrats sweeping the core four Senate races—Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia—reflects balanced uncertainty across these battlegrounds heading into the November 2026 midterms. Democrats hold two of the seats while challenging two Republican-held ones in a map shaped by post-2024 partisan dynamics, with recent Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball updates moving North Carolina to Lean Democratic and Alaska and Ohio toward toss-ups based on polling averages and candidate positioning. Fundraising advantages for Democrats in several states have narrowed gaps, yet Republican incumbency edges and national turnout patterns maintain parity. Key variables that could shift consensus include late-cycle polling shifts in Michigan (following Gary Peters' retirement) or Maine, primary outcomes, or broader economic indicators influencing swing-state voter sentiment before Election Day.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).

A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Volume
$19,791
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs). A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Les démocrates gagneront-ils les quatre courses sénatoriales clés ? » à 49%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ? » a généré $19.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ? » est « Les démocrates gagneront-ils les quatre courses sénatoriales clés ? » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Les démocrates remporteront-ils toutes les « quatre principales » courses au Sénat ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.