Michigan’s 2026 Senate race tightened immediately after the August 4 primary, where Abdul El-Sayed narrowly secured the Democratic nomination and Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. A Fox News poll released days later showed voters sharply divided, with Rogers holding a slim overall edge while El-Sayed led among those certain to vote, reflecting both candidates’ high unfavorables in a contest that could determine Senate control. El-Sayed has pressed for multiple debates on issues including healthcare and campaign finance, while Rogers has focused on national security themes from his prior congressional tenure. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes near even aligns with the race’s narrow polling margins and Michigan’s status as a key battleground, where turnout patterns and late-cycle developments remain decisive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$428,743 Vol.
$428,743 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
56%
Mike Rogers (R)
45%
$428,743 Vol.
$428,743 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$224,983 Vol.
56%
Mike Rogers (R)
$203,760 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan’s 2026 Senate race tightened immediately after the August 4 primary, where Abdul El-Sayed narrowly secured the Democratic nomination and Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. A Fox News poll released days later showed voters sharply divided, with Rogers holding a slim overall edge while El-Sayed led among those certain to vote, reflecting both candidates’ high unfavorables in a contest that could determine Senate control. El-Sayed has pressed for multiple debates on issues including healthcare and campaign finance, while Rogers has focused on national security themes from his prior congressional tenure. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes near even aligns with the race’s narrow polling margins and Michigan’s status as a key battleground, where turnout patterns and late-cycle developments remain decisive.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$428,743Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan’s 2026 Senate race tightened immediately after the August 4 primary, where Abdul El-Sayed narrowly secured the Democratic nomination and Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. A Fox News poll released days later showed voters sharply divided, with Rogers holding a slim overall edge while El-Sayed led among those certain to vote, reflecting both candidates’ high unfavorables in a contest that could determine Senate control. El-Sayed has pressed for multiple debates on issues including healthcare and campaign finance, while Rogers has focused on national security themes from his prior congressional tenure. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes near even aligns with the race’s narrow polling margins and Michigan’s status as a key battleground, where turnout patterns and late-cycle developments remain decisive.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$428,743Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s 2026 Senate race tightened immediately after the August 4 primary, where Abdul El-Sayed narrowly secured the Democratic nomination and Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side. A Fox News poll released days later showed voters sharply divided, with Rogers holding a slim overall edge while El-Sayed led among those certain to vote, reflecting both candidates’ high unfavorables in a contest that could determine Senate control. El-Sayed has pressed for multiple debates on issues including healthcare and campaign finance, while Rogers has focused on national security themes from his prior congressional tenure. Trader consensus pricing these outcomes near even aligns with the race’s narrow polling margins and Michigan’s status as a key battleground, where turnout patterns and late-cycle developments remain decisive.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes