Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race, with traders assigning her party a 94% implied probability of victory over Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hyde-Smith’s incumbency advantages and primary win, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows her maintaining a lead despite a narrower margin in one survey, while forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered the outlook since primaries concluded in March. A late scandal, unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout, or major vote split involving the independent could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain remote given historical state trends and the November 3 general election timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
94%
Démocrate
7%
$44,639 Vol.
$44,639 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$26,924 Vol.
94%
Démocrate
$17,715 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race, with traders assigning her party a 94% implied probability of victory over Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hyde-Smith’s incumbency advantages and primary win, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows her maintaining a lead despite a narrower margin in one survey, while forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered the outlook since primaries concluded in March. A late scandal, unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout, or major vote split involving the independent could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain remote given historical state trends and the November 3 general election timeline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$44,639Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race, with traders assigning her party a 94% implied probability of victory over Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hyde-Smith’s incumbency advantages and primary win, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows her maintaining a lead despite a narrower margin in one survey, while forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered the outlook since primaries concluded in March. A late scandal, unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout, or major vote split involving the independent could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain remote given historical state trends and the November 3 general election timeline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$44,639Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith holds a commanding position in the 2026 Mississippi Senate race, with traders assigning her party a 94% implied probability of victory over Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. Mississippi’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal contests, combined with Hyde-Smith’s incumbency advantages and primary win, underpin the market consensus. Recent polling shows her maintaining a lead despite a narrower margin in one survey, while forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Limited campaign developments or national shifts have altered the outlook since primaries concluded in March. A late scandal, unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout, or major vote split involving the independent could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain remote given historical state trends and the November 3 general election timeline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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