Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Missouri's 3rd district. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, reinforced by recent redistricting that added suburban and rural areas while retaining its core base, underpin the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who advanced from a low-profile primary, faces the same headwinds seen in prior cycles for challengers in this district. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually large national Democratic midterm surge, late-cycle developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$21,180 Vol.
$21,180 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
91%
Parti démocrate
8%
$21,180 Vol.
$21,180 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,172 Vol.
91%
Parti démocrate
$15,008 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Missouri's 3rd district. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, reinforced by recent redistricting that added suburban and rural areas while retaining its core base, underpin the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who advanced from a low-profile primary, faces the same headwinds seen in prior cycles for challengers in this district. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually large national Democratic midterm surge, late-cycle developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,180Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Missouri's 3rd district. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, reinforced by recent redistricting that added suburban and rural areas while retaining its core base, underpin the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who advanced from a low-profile primary, faces the same headwinds seen in prior cycles for challengers in this district. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually large national Democratic midterm surge, late-cycle developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,180Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election with strong structural advantages in Missouri's 3rd district. The seat's consistent Republican voting patterns, reinforced by recent redistricting that added suburban and rural areas while retaining its core base, underpin the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who advanced from a low-profile primary, faces the same headwinds seen in prior cycles for challengers in this district. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unusually large national Democratic midterm surge, late-cycle developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate-specific events before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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