Florida's 8th congressional district enters the 2026 midterm cycle with a pronounced Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted its partisan voting index to R+11 and produced solid or safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic recruitment remains limited to a small field that includes Lacey Villareal and others. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the clear advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-08
$11,545 Vol.
$11,545 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
84%
Parti démocrate
16%
$11,545 Vol.
$11,545 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,685 Vol.
84%
Parti démocrate
$5,861 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th congressional district enters the 2026 midterm cycle with a pronounced Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted its partisan voting index to R+11 and produced solid or safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic recruitment remains limited to a small field that includes Lacey Villareal and others. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the clear advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$11,545Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 8th congressional district enters the 2026 midterm cycle with a pronounced Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted its partisan voting index to R+11 and produced solid or safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic recruitment remains limited to a small field that includes Lacey Villareal and others. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the clear advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,545Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 8th congressional district enters the 2026 midterm cycle with a pronounced Republican tilt after mid-decade redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis shifted its partisan voting index to R+11 and produced solid or safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Haridopolos faces only minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic recruitment remains limited to a small field that includes Lacey Villareal and others. These structural factors, combined with the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds the clear advantage heading into the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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