Maryland's 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Montgomery County suburbs, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent statewide voting patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 92 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the district's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive indicators such as substantial Republican fundraising or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national political realignment occurring before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MD-08
$26,547 Vol.
$26,547 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
3%
$26,547 Vol.
$26,547 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$18,067 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$8,480 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Montgomery County suburbs, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent statewide voting patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 92 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the district's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive indicators such as substantial Republican fundraising or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national political realignment occurring before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,547Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Montgomery County suburbs, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent statewide voting patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 92 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the district's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive indicators such as substantial Republican fundraising or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national political realignment occurring before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,547Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic stronghold centered in Montgomery County suburbs, where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans and recent statewide voting patterns have consistently favored the party by wide margins. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary with over 92 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout contest. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold, consistent with the district's partisan baseline and the absence of competitive indicators such as substantial Republican fundraising or polling shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected development such as a major scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national political realignment occurring before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes