Maryland's 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean and partisan voting patterns underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while the Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, advanced unopposed in a low-turnout contest. The district, centered in Prince George's County suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as solid Democratic. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe health issue, or an unprecedented national political realignment, none of which appear imminent based on current indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MD-04
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants MD-04
$46,393 Vol.
$46,393 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
98%
Parti républicain
1%
$46,393 Vol.
$46,393 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$20,914 Vol.
98%
Parti républicain
$25,480 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean and partisan voting patterns underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while the Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, advanced unopposed in a low-turnout contest. The district, centered in Prince George's County suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as solid Democratic. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe health issue, or an unprecedented national political realignment, none of which appear imminent based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$46,393Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean and partisan voting patterns underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while the Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, advanced unopposed in a low-turnout contest. The district, centered in Prince George's County suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as solid Democratic. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe health issue, or an unprecedented national political realignment, none of which appear imminent based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,393Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district's strong Democratic lean and partisan voting patterns underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against several challengers, while the Republican nominee, perennial candidate George McDermott, advanced unopposed in a low-turnout contest. The district, centered in Prince George's County suburbs, has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat as solid Democratic. Late developments capable of shifting the outcome would require an extraordinary event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a severe health issue, or an unprecedented national political realignment, none of which appear imminent based on current indicators.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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